Evan Mobley Over 7.5 Rebounds (-111) at FanDuel
Mobley has battled injuries at different points of the season but just played one of his best games of the year Saturday, putting up 28 points and 10 rebounds in 24 minutes. He’s been back in the Cleveland Cavaliers’ lineup for three games and beat this line in two of those while increasing his minutes in every game.
The Cavs are facing the Sacramento Kings, who have performed well on the glass and are anchored by the league’s leading rebounder, Domantas Sabonis. Still, Mobley’s track record on the boards combined with Cleveland’s suffocating defense means that he should be there to collect some of the missed shots other teams may not.
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Tyrese Maxey Under 6.5 Assists (-104) at FanDuel
Maxey played two games since Joel Embiid injured his meniscus, scoring a career-high 51 and then 23 points. While his scoring output fluctuated dramatically, he took an average of 25 field goal attempts and did not record more than five assists in either matchup (and also averaged just three per game).
In 11 games without Embiid, Maxey recorded fewer than 6.5 assists six times. As he and the Philadelphia 76ers prepare to take on the red-hot Los Angeles Clippers on Monday, he’ll be under pressure to score at the same level as Kawhi Leonard, James Harden, and Paul George and will likely look to pass much less than he usually does.
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Austin Reaves Over 15.5 Points (-118) at FanDuel
Reaves is enjoying his best scoring stretch of the season, averaging 21.2 points over his last six games and going over in five of them. He also made 3+ threes in three straight games and is playing even more minutes than usual, including a monthly-high 33.3 in January and 36.5 through two games in February.
The Los Angeles Lakers are facing the Charlotte Hornets, who have the worst defensive rating in the NBA. Reaves also scored 16 points against Charlotte when they matched up earlier in the year, and there’s a strong possibility LeBron James and Anthony Davis don’t fully step on the gas against a weaker opponent and instead let Reaves and the secondary guys run the show.
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Cam Thomas Over 24.5 Points (-113) at FanDuel
Thomas is quite the divisive figure for the Brooklyn Nets—he can get buckets at a truly elite level, yet he’s bounced around between the starting lineup and the bench. That said, he scored 25+ points in five straight games, including 40 on 53.8% shooting in his last outing, and seems to be the primary scoring option ahead of Mikal Bridges and the other starters.
The Nets are facing the Golden State Warriors, who gave up more points per possession than every team in the NBA over the last 15 games. Golden State is also especially weak on the perimeter since Steph Curry is undersized and Klay Thompson is well past his defensive prime.
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Brandon Ingram Under 6.5 Assists (-138) at FanDuel
Ingram averages 5.6 assists per game and went under this line in four straight games. Not only that, but he failed to record more than 6.5 assists in 10 of his last 15 outings and has trended under for the majority of the season.
The New Orleans Pelicans are facing the Toronto Raptors, who give up the fifth-most assists per possession to opponents. That said, Ingram’s assist totals haven’t directly correlated with the strength of his opponent, as some of his recent overs came against the Phoenix Suns and Minnesota Timberwolves, who have solid and outstanding defenses.
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