NBA Player Props and Best Bets for Tuesday 1/30/24

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The Minnesota Timberwolves came back to beat the Oklahoma City Thunder in the fourth quarter and took control of first place in the Western Conference, while Nikola Jokic and the Denver Nuggets managed to take down the visiting Giannis Anttokunmpo and the Milwaukee Bucks.

Here are our favorite NBA player prop picks for Tuesday.

Odds from FanDuel Sportsbook. Use our FanDuel promo code for $200 in bonus bets.

Pascal Siakam Over 3.5 Assists (-122) at FanDuel

The Indiana Pacers are expected to welcome All-Star starter Tyrese Haliburton back into the lineup on Tuesday after he missed a week and a half with a hamstring strain. Even still, Siakam has a great chance to go over what is a very low assist line for a playmaking forward such as himself.

Haliburton is going to handle the ball on the perimeter more and will take over the majority of the facilitation obligations, but Siakama beat this line in five of six games with Indy and averaged 5.7 assists during that time. He’s also used to playing with pass-first point guards (a la Fred VanVleet) and should be able to take advantage of Indy’s rapid pace of play and extra possession.

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Clint Capela Over 9.5 Rebounds (-146) at FanDuel

Capela averaged 10.4 boards per night, came up with 14 in 28 minutes in his last game, and beat this line in five of his last eight outings. The Los Angeles Lakers also love to play big (particularly with Anthony Davis), which means that he won’t be forced to leave the court because they deployed a small-ball lineup.

Capela is one of few strong rebounders on an Atlanta Hawks team that struggled to end opponents’ possessions after one shot. Luckily for them, the Lakers are a bad jump-shooting team and are on the second night of a back-to-back, which should leave them feeling tired and with less energy to put into their shots. 

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Jalen Brunson Under 8.5 Assists (-148) at FanDuel

Brunson was, in our opinion, robbed of a starting spot in the All-Star Game—but as great as he’s been, this is a lot to ask of him. Brunson needs to score 30+ points on most nights with Julius Randle sidelined by a dislocated shoulder and shouldn’t think about passing the ball too much (only one over in his last 11 games).

The Utah Jazz allow the third-most assists per 100 possessions, but they also look a little better on defense in the New Year. Brunson will also get to go against guards who aren’t known for their defensive prowess and could be great as a scorer, but probably not as a facilitator.

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DeMar DeRozan Over 29.5 Points+Assists (-125) at FanDuel

DeRozan only beat this total once in his last four games, yet he has a great opportunity to add another to his tally on Tuesday. The Chicago Bulls are facing the Toronto Raptors, who are a bottom-five defensive team (28th in def. rating in January) and gave up 126+ points in three of their last four games.

DeRozan hasn’t produced elite numbers, but he averaged 22.1 points and 5.4 assists and is playing at his usual standard in the New Year. He played 40+ minutes in three straight games and should have enough opportunities to go over against a very poor defense. 

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Klay Thompson Under 3.5 Threes (+108) at FanDuel

Thompson has gotten better shooting the ball as the year progressed (40.5% from three in January) and made 6-17 threes his last time out in a double-overtime thriller against the Lakers. That said, he’s shooting only 37% from long range at home and cashed two unders in his last four games.

The Golden State Warriors are taking on the Philadelphia 76ers, who hold opponents to the lowest three-point percentage (34.1%) in the league. They also require so much focus and attention on the defensive end that Klay could find it to keep his legs under him late in the game and end up going under his line.

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