NBA Player Props and Best Bets for Friday 1/26/2024

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The Sacramento Kings hung on to beat the Golden State Warriors by one point as Steph Curry failed to get a shot off in the final seconds, while the New York Knicks improved to 11-2 with OG Anunoby after blowing out the Denver Nuggets by 38.

Here are our favorite NBA player prop picks for Friday.

Odds from FanDuel Sportsbook. Use our FanDuel promo code for $150 in bonus bets.

Miles Bridges Under 23.5 Points (-113) at FanDuel

Bridges scored 20 points in 41 minutes in a loss to the Detroit Pistons his last time out and went under this line in five of his last seven games. He has strong shooting splits for the month but was also below 44% from the field in three straight games and is getting a tough matchup on Friday.

The Charlotte Hornets are taking on the Houston Rockets, who play slow (22nd in pace) and are strong on defense (ninth in def. rating, fifth in field goal percentage allowed). Watch for Bridges to struggle again as he takes on a tough defense amid a cold streak from the floor.

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Victor Wembanyama Over 10.5 Rebounds (-118) at FanDuel

Wemby averaged 10.1 rebounds for the year and 9.4 in January despite playing limited minutes. He also just recorded 12 boards in 28 minutes against the Oklahoma City Thunder and hit the over in four of his last seven games. He only managed six rebounds in his lone encounter with the Portland Trail Blazers but has a great opportunity to outdo that on Friday.

The Blazers shoot the lowest percentage from the field in the NBA, which automatically means that more rebounds should be available to Wemby and the San Antonio Spurs. Portland is also just 24th in rebound rate and doesn’t have a big man consistently committed to the boards, which means the first-overall pick should have an easier time trying to get to his over.

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James Harden Over 27.5 Points+Assists (-128) at FanDuel

There’s no telling which one of the Los Angeles Clippers’ stars will take over on a given night—that said, Harden is usually always involved as either a scorer or facilitator, which makes this combo prop safer than just looking at his points.

Harden beat this line in both of his last outings (recording 20-point-plus double-doubles in both) and is about to face a Toronto Raptors team that is 26th in defensive rating in January. Harden is shooting 42.5% from three and averaging 9.9 assists this month and has all of the tools to put together a strong outing.

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Damian Lillard Under 6.5 Assists (-130) at FanDuel

Lillard averaged 6.8 assists across the season as a whole but has struggled whenever he’s faced the Cleveland Cavaliers, recording four, five, and four assists. He and the Milwaukee Bucks will take on the Cavs for the third time in 10 days on Friday, and his track record leads us to believe he’ll go under.

The Cavs are enjoying their best month of the season and have the best defensive rating in the league in January. Lillard is a tremendous scorer and will get his numbers, but his teammates (not named Giannis Antetokunmpo) might struggle to do the same.

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Vince Williams Jr. Over 2.5 Threes (+158) at FanDuel

Talk about seizing an opportunity, William Jr., a second-year second-round pick from VCU, averaged 14.7 points and 6.5 rebounds on 51/47/85 shooting splits this month. He made 3+ threes in three of his last five games and just went 5-6 from deep against the Miami Heat his last time out. 

The Memphis Grizzlies are facing an Orlando Magic squad that was outstanding on defense to start the year but is down to just 10th in defensive rating in 2024, which is a significant drop-off compared to where they were before. For plus-money odds, Williams Jr. is a worthy pick.

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