NBA Player Props and Best Bets for Thursday 1/25/2024

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Devin Booker’s third-quarter explosion and 46 total points against the Dallas Mavericks helped the Phoenix Suns win their seventh straight game, while the Milwaukee Bucks beat the Cleveland Cavaliers by 10 points in the first game of the post-Adrian Griffin era. 

Here are our favorite NBA player prop picks for Thursday.

Odds from FanDuel Sportsbook. Use our FanDuel promo code for $150 in bonus bets.

Joel Embiid 40+ Points (+160) at FanDuel

The last time Embiid took the court, he scored 70 points on 58.5% field goal shooting. He scored 40+ points in three of his last five games and averaged better than 40 points for each of the last two months and he continues to put together arguably the most impressive regular season in NBA history.

Embiid played the Indiana Pacers twice already this season, scoring 37 and 39 points. Indy allows opponents to score more than 60 points in the paint per game, the worst in the league, and has not made any noticeable defensive improvements since trading for Pascal Siakam.

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Lauri Markkanen Over 2.5 Threes (-128) at FanDuel

Lauri hasn’t taken a leap from last year, but he’s been solid and consistent for a Utah Jazz team that suddenly seems like it could make some noise in the postseason. The Finnisher made 3+ threes in 11 of his last 17 games and should be motivated to perform since he and the Jazz were blown off the court by the New Orleans Pelicans on Tuesday.

Utah will take on the Washington Wizards, who are on the second night of a back-to-back, have the second-worst defensive rating in the league, and are bottom-10 in three-point defense. Watch for the Jazz star to put together a strong night and help end a three-game losing streak.

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Nikola Jokic Over 11.5 Rebounds (-104) at FanDuel

Jokic is fourth in the league with 12.0 rebounds per night and snatched at least 12 boards in five straight games, including his most recent 31/13/10 triple-double. He’s yet to face the New York Knicks this season but is catching them at potentially the most optimal time.

Mitchell Robinson is still out with his long-term injury, and Isaiah Hartenstein did not play in New York’s last game because of an Achilles issue. If Hartenstein does not suit up, there’s a great chance the Joker flies over his total against a team that leads the league in rebound rate this month but is also down its top two rebounders.

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Keegan Murray Over 2.5 Threes (+126) at FanDuel

Murray did not shoot the ball in his last couple of games but still went over this line in four of his last seven outings. He hasn’t played since Monday and should have plenty of energy as he prepares to take on a Golden State Warriors team he and the rest of the Sacramento Kings have not lost any love for.

In three career regular-season games against the Warriors, he went over this line three times—but even better, he averaged nine attempts in his two most recent meetings with the Dubs, who give up the eighth-most “wide-open” (closest defender 6+ feet away) threes per game.

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LeBron James Over 25.5 Points (-111) at FanDuel

LeBron took the night off earlier this week and will return to the lineup having enjoyed four days of rest. He dropped 28 points in 31 minutes his last time out and is shooting the ball well over the last couple of weeks (25.5 points on 50.6% FG), which puts him in a solid spot as he prepares to take on the Chicago Bulls.

The Bulls are seventh in defensive rating in January but also allowed Kevin Durant to go for 43 points their last time out. Because the Bulls are so great at getting back and setting up their defense and also play at a slow pace, this game should be more about LeBron and Anthony Davis going to work on the interior than the Lakers flying in transition and getting up threes, hence the over on LeBron.

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