NBA Player Props and Best Bets for Thursday 1/11/2024

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Jayson Tatum scored 12 points in overtime to help the Boston Celtics beat the Minnesota Timberwolves in overtime, while Victor Wembanyama became the youngest center to record a triple-double (with zero turnovers) in a win over the Detroit Pistons.

Here are our favorite NBA player prop picks for Thursday.

Odds from FanDuel Sportsbook. Use our FanDuel promo code for a $150 bonus.

Jarrett Allen Over 11.5 Rebounds (-138) at FanDuel

Allen enters Thursday's game on a hot streak, having averaged 15.7 boards and gone over this total six times in his last seven games. He’s also playing a good chunk of minutes and taking even more responsibility for the interior following Evan Mobley’s injury.

The Cleveland Cavaliers are facing off with the Brooklyn Nets, who are eighth in rebound percentage. However, Brooklyn is full of long wings that are great at rebounding outside of the painted area, but even with Nic Claxton, they lack a force on the inside that will bring down every contested rebound.

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Jaylen Brown Over 24.5 Points (-115) at FanDuel

It’s easy to overlook Brown, the NBA’s most expensive player ever, when Jayson Tatum is going berserk like he did yesterday—but Brown scored 31 or more points in three straight games and cleared this total in seven of his last 12 games (including two games in which he scored 24). He also put up 26 points on 63% field goal shooting in his only other matchup against the Milwaukee Bucks this season.

Malik Beasley is expected to draw the assignment of guarding Brown, which is another reason to back him. Although Beasley has been better on defense than in years past, he struggles to guard some of the league’s best perimeter players, which Brown is. Expect him to keep his head down and attack the rim against a Bucks squad that’s 22nd in defensive rating.

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Chet Holmgren Over 7.5 Rebounds (-136) at FanDuel

This prop is right in line with Holmgren’s season average of 7.4 rebounds. He ended a four-game streak of unders by grabbing nine rebounds against the Miami Heat last night and is in position to have another strong night on the boards.

The OKC Thunder are facing the Portland Trail Blazers, who are 23rd in rebound rate—but on top of that, they have the lowest effective field goal percentage in the league, which means Holmgren should have plenty of opportunities to rebound missed shots (especially with Deandre Ayton sidelined by injury).

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Kyrie Irving 4+ Threes (+200) at FanDuel

Kyrie sank four or more threes in three of his last seven games and should be able to get up as many shots as his heart desires on Thursday since Luka Doncic is out with an ankle injury. The New York Knicks are 5-0 with OG Anunoby and will make it tough for him, but he went 6-8 from three against the Minnesota Timberwolves’ league-best defense on Sunday, and the Knicks are only 17th in three-point percentage allowed.

The Mavs’ point guard could run into trouble if the Knicks decide to double-team or blitz him, but they also rarely abandon their typical straight-up defensive style. With Jalen Brunson or Donte DiVincenzo expected to start off guarding him, we like Irving’s chances to make some noise from beyond the arc. 

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Anthony Davis Over 41.5 Points+Rebounds (-122) at FanDuel

The Los Angeles Lakers will take on the Phoenix Suns for the fourth time already this season when they meet in the City of Angels on Thursday. While Phoenix will have the full complements of its Big Three, they’ve had no answer for Davis in the times they faced off already.

AD cleared this total in two of the three matchups and grabbed 11+ rebounds in all of them. Jusuf Nurkic has not been able to handle his size, and the smaller bench players simply aren’t big enough or skilled enough to challenge him. LA’s star center is also fresh off a 41-point, 11-rebound outing against the Toronto Raptors and should be raring to go.

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