Chet Holmgren over 17.5 points (-113) at FanDuel
This line is a fair reflection of Holmgren, who averages 17.8 points and usually does not stray too far from that standard. However, he’s coming off a 31-point outing on 78.6% field-goal shooting and is about to face a Miami Heat team that will have problems guarding him.
Miami has done a very poor job defending against drives this season, and their versatile defense requires Bam Adebayo to be active in all of the passing lanes and to switch onto smaller players. Whenever that happens and a smaller player gets switched onto Holmgren, he’ll be able to shoot over the top or put his head down and get downhill, which he does very efficiently.
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Coby White under 2.5 threes (+118) at FanDuel
White set the world on fire when he stepped into the starting lineup for the injured Zach LaVine and was shooting threes at an all-time clip. He has since cooled down and went under 2.5 threes in seven of his last 11 games.
White did go over in his last three outings, but two of those were against the tragic Charlotte Hornets. On Wednesday, he’ll face the Houston Rockets, who allow the worst three-point percentage (33.1%) and the sixth-fewest threes (11.7) per game. The teams also play at the slowest and fifth-slowest paces, meaning that there won’t be a ton of shots to go around.
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Victor Wembanyama over 33.5 points+rebounds+assists (-118) at FanDuel
Here we have the holy grail of NBA betting: the San Antonio Spurs (5-30) against the Detroit Pistons (3-34). A game with this level of ineptitude is set up perfectly for defensive props and overs for the few players that dare to call themselves bonafide starters in the league (of which Wemby is one).
The French sensation averages just less than this total but went over in each of his last two games. He also gets the benefit of catching Detroit on the second night of a back-to-back and should have enough to power over this line.
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Myles Turner under 18.5 points (-108) at FanDuel
A lot of Turner’s productivity is tied to Tyrese Haliburton being able to push the pace and find him with the ball. With Haliburton set to miss the contest due to a hamstring strain, Turner will be running the two-man game with T.J. McConnell and Andrew Nembhard, which we doubt will be as successful.
Turner averaged 12.3 points and did not score more than 17 points in three games without Haliburton this season. He’s facing a horrendous Washington Wizards squad but appears due for a step back without his all-star facilitator.
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Ivica Zubac over 9.5 rebounds (-113) at FanDuel
Zubac isn’t a dominant rebounder, but he averages 9.7 boards per game and has a unique matchup. The Los Angeles Clippers are facing the Toronto Raptors, who are on the second night of a back-to-back and did not start a center on Tuesday.
Jakob Poeltl is injured, which means that Toronto’s frontcourt lineup is Scottie Barnes, Pascal Siakam, and Thaddeus Young. In lieu of anyone to match his size, Zubac is in a great spot to haul down double-digit rebounds, just like he did in five of his last eight games.
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