Giannis Antetokounmpo 40+ Points (+145) at FanDuel
Giannis’ regular line is at over/under 36.5 points, which means the oddsmakers are expecting quite the game from the two-time MVP. The Milwaukee Bucks are facing an Indiana Pacers team that has the second-worst defensive rating and is first in pace, which means there will be lots of scoring opportunities for all involved.
The Pacers played 10 games against All-Star-level big men and allowed those players to AVERAGE 40 points and 13.9 rebounds. Giannis individually averaged 46.3 points and 13.5 rebounds in four matchups, and he’ll have the motivation of a home loss on Monday spurring him on.
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Shai Gilgeous-Alexanders Over 34.5 Points (-111) at FanDuel
SGA averages 31.4 points and just put up 36 against the Celtics on Tuesday. While there will be concerns about a lack of rest, he’s still a young player and averaged 32 on the second night of a back-to-back in three such games this season.
The Atlanta Hawks are 27th in defensive rating and points per game allowed and don’t have anyone they can throw out to guard the Thunder’s leading man. Trae Young also had a historic December, and if he has another strong outing, that will only coax SGA into being even more aggressive in scoring the basketball.
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Alperen Sengun 6+ Assists (+135) at FanDuel
Sengun dished out 17 helpers over his last two games and is about to go against a Brooklyn Nets squad that will be distracted by last night’s result. They scored just 85 points and lost their fourth straight game as Cam Thomas and Spencer Dinwiddie combined for zero field goals and no points.
With their terrible offensive performance weighing them down, we expect the Nets to put most of their attention toward scoring, not defending. That should give freedom to a Rockets team that is 13-5 at home, especially considering the Nets are 19th in points per game allowed.
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Jaime Jaquez Jr. Over 1.5 Threes (+142) at FanDuel
The Los Angeles Lakers give up the most wide-open shots per game (26.3). Jaquez, as mostly a secondary option in the offense, should be the recipient of several late swings that find him with no defender in his immediate air space.
Although the first-year rookie only shot 32.4% from three in December and went under 1.5 threes in all but one of his last nine games, he’s making 38% of his wide-open triples and shouldn’t draw a great defender as his primary matchup. He’ll also get a lot of minutes with the Miami Heat dealing with multiple injuries and after playing 35+ minutes in five straight games.
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RJ Barrett Over 15.5 Points (-108) at FanDuel
Barrett scored 19 points in his Toronto Raptors debut and averaged 18.3 for the season. He’s still settling into his new role on his new squad, but a line of 15.5 is simply too low for a player who averaged more than that every year except for his rookie campaign and that is a near-lock to play 30+ minutes.
The Memphis Grizzlies haven’t been great on defense with Marcus Smart and Ja Morant back in the lineup. They allowed an average of 119 points in the five games Smart has been back, and Barrett should have enough to get over his line.
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