Jaren Jackson Jr. Under 6.5 Rebounds (-104) at DraftKings
Jackson Jr. frustratingly refuses to engage on the boards at the same frequency as other big men. He only went over this total twice in his last nine games and failed to record more than four boards in his last three games.
The Memphis Grizzlies are preparing to take on the San Antonio Spurs, who are anchored by Victor Wembanyama (who averaged 11.4 rebounds per game in December). Even though Wemby’s props are not listed on FanDuel, his name is not on the injury report, and he should be a major roadblock in Jackson hitting the over.
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Brandon Ingram Over 1.5 Threes (+112) at DraftKings
Ingram is not a high-volume three-pointer—only 4.0 attempts per game—but he drained four of seven triples in his last game against the Los Angeles Lakers and shot 40.8% from deep in December.
The New Orleans Pelicans are facing the Brooklyn Nets, who rank 27th in three-point percentage allowed to opponents (38.1%). Brooklyn is also sixth in points in the paint allowed and should jam the inside while leaving space on the perimeter. Ingram takes more shots than anyone on the Pels and has a strong chance to go over his total on Tuesday.
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Kristaps Porzingis Over 8.5 Rebounds (-106) at DraftKings
Porzingis is not thought of as much of a rebounder since he historically has not dominated the inside as many other 7-foot-3 players have. However, he snagged 9+ rebounds in five of his last seven games and is taking greater ownership of the glass amid the Boston Celtics’ recent six-game winning streak.
The C’s are taking on the Oklahoma City Thunder, who are excellent in every aspect of the game except for rebounding (29th in rebound rate - 47.4%). OKC’s leading rebounder, Chet Holmgren, is also not someone to camp out under the basket, which will give Porzingis the chance to grab long rebounds in addition to contested ones under the hoop.
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De’Aaron Fox Over 5.5 Assists (-118) at DraftKings
The Sacramento Kings are whopping 15.5-point favorites against the Charlotte Hornets, which makes us hesitant to take the over on Fox’s points since he could easily see the bench early in a blowout win. However, we like his assists on such a low line against a relatively terrible opponent.
Fox cashed the over on this total in seven of his last 11 games and won’t face much resistance from a Hornets squad that has the worst defensive rating in basketball. Charlotte also allows the best three-point percentage and is 25th in scoring defense (121.1 points per game allowed), so the Kings’ other players should find success scoring the ball.
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Steph Curry Under 28.5 Points (-104) at DraftKings
As if this season wasn’t going poorly enough for the Golden State Warriors, Steph Curry has become ineffective. He has a -2.7 net rating when on the court and only scored an average of 18.7 points on 31.1% shooting over his last three games, most recently scoring 25 (36% FG) against the Dallas Mavericks.
The Golden State Warriors are facing the Orlando Magic, who rank fifth in defensive rating and points allowed per game. The Dubs’ offensive struggles have allowed opposing defenses to send more bodies at Curry without fear of being punished, a strategy the Magic could employ as they look to shut down the two-time MVP for the fourth straight game.
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