Joel Embiid Over 31.5 Points (-113) at FanDuel
Embiid leads the league in scoring at 32 points per night and only just broke a four-game streak of 32+ points in his last game—by two points. He hasn’t played in over a week and will be as fresh as anyone heading into a matchup against a terrible Washington Wizards squad.
The Wiz play extremely fast but rank only 29th in defensive rating, meaning they give opponents lots of looks at the hoop and don’t do much to stop any of them. Embiid also scored 48, 34, and 48 points in his last three matchups against Washington (one this season) and is poised for a great game.
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Rudy Gobert Over 11.5 Rebounds (-132) at FanDuel
Gobert’s renaissance has been a major reason why the Minnesota Timberwolves have been in contention for the best record in the league. Though he’ll never be a 30-point-per-game scorer, he’s excellent on the glass and recorded 12+ rebounds in three straight games.
The T’Wolves are facing Victor Wembanyama and the San Antonio Spurs, who rank 24th in rebound rate as a collective. Gobert also knows Wembanyama from their national team experience together and will want to play his best against a player he has a friendly rivalry with.
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Chet Holmgren Over 1.5 Threes (-125) at FanDuel
Homlgren and the Oklahoma City Thunder are surprising underdogs against the Houston Rockets on Wednesday night. Although OKC has been one of the best teams in the league, and the Rockets are just about .500, Houston is 8-1 at home.
Holmgren’s ability to stretch the floor and draw Alperen Sengun away from the basket will be crucial in breaking down Houston’s great defense. The 7-footer made 2+ threes in four of his last seven games and is shooting 39.5% from range, and we like him to go over.
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Terry Rozier Over 21.5 Points (-113) at FanDuel
The Charlotte Hornets’ limited chance at relevance essentially disappeared when LaMelo Ball went down with an ankle injury, but Rozier’s personal numbers have flourished in the interim. He scored 22+ points in four of his last five games and is only two games removed from a 37-point outing against the Brooklyn Nets, and he scored 23 against the T’Wolves and their excellent defense in his last game.
The Chicago Bulls are only 22nd in defensive rating and don’t have ball-stoppers in the backcourt that will slow Rozier down. The primary concern is the Bulls’ glacially slow pace won’t give him enough opportunities to go over, but he’s never shy to put up shots and should still get over his line.
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Trae Young Over 10.5 Assists (+102) at FanDuel
Young started the year slow scoring-wise but has been an assist threat all year, averaging 10.7 per night. He dished out 26 helpers in his last two games and has a particular stylistic advantage to help him out against the Nets.
Brooklyn isn’t a great team in the defensive backcourt. Their strength is in their ability to switch frequently, but that will only create mismatches that a player with Young’s vision will be able to exploit. He also lit them up for 43 points when they met near the end of November, which should change how they guard him and force him to be more of a passer.
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