Giannis Antetokounmpo 30+ points (+150)
Giannis is averaging 27 points and 10 rebounds as essentially an afterthought in Milwaukee because of all of the attention that has gone into slowing down Damian Lillard. But despite that, the Greek Freak scored 33 points on Monday and has taken 21 shot attempts in two of three games, which is more than enough volume to get him over his total.
The Raptors are fourth in defensive rating, but Giannis has scored 30+ in three of his last five meetings against them. Plus, his brute physicality will be a nice counter to a team that is used to dictating the tempo with its defense.
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Nikola Jokic over 1.5 threes (+165)
Jokic has not made more than one three since the season opener (when he made three), but the value on this line is too much to pass up. He’s still shooting 42.9% from outside and is taking 3.5 attempts per game.
Jokic will be guarded primarily by either Karl-Anthony Towns or Rudy Gobert, both of whom struggle to play defense outside of the painted area. We missed out on this prop on Monday following similar logic when Jokic played Walker Kessler and the Utah Jazz, but we’re willing to give him another chance here.
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Chet Holmgren over 5.5 rebounds (-105)
Holmgren recorded four rebounds in three of his first four games and 13 in another. Now, he’s going against a New Orleans Pelicans squad that we believe will give him a chance to get more involved on the boards based on what they’ve put on tape thus far.
Holmgren will spend time matching up with Jonas Valančiūnas, but he’ll also naturally lock horns with Zion Williamson within the flow of the game. Williamson and the other Pelicans bigs are either undersized or not great rebounders, plus the team as a whole ranks 28th in rebounding percentage. Considering the Pels are also 20th in field goal percentage (44.5%), Holmgren should have plenty of chances on the glass on Wednesday.
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Keegan Murray over 15.5 points (-125)
Murray increased his scoring total in every game thus far, putting up 15, 16, and most recently, 17 on Sunday. That’s while shooting 39.5% from the field and 34.5% from beyond the arc, both of which are well below his rookie standards.
The Kings play at a breakneck pace and will fly with the ball up and down the court. Golden State has other scoring threats such as De’Aaron Fox and Domantas Sabonis to worry about before it can get to Murray, who is improving and should take his 14.3 shots per game above 15.5 points.
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Jalen Duren over 10.5 rebounds (-130)
Duren is only 19 years old, but he’s a MAN on the boards. The second-year Memphis product averaged 15.3 rebounds over the first three games before only managing seven in limited minutes on Monday, but his film and importance to the Detroit Pistons’ rotation lead us to believe he’ll be a mainstay on the glass on Wednesday.
The Pistons are squaring off with the Portland Trail Blazers, who are 18th in rebounding percentage (48.7%). They’re also anchored by Deandre Ayton, who’s had an outstanding start to the year rebounding the ball but has a motor that runs cold and will shy away from repeated physical challenges.
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