Devin Booker Under 7.5 Assists (+100) at FanDuel
Booker is averaging 9.3 assists per game in his first season as the Phoenix Suns’ full-time playmaker and distributor. He’s done a great job making the right reads and moving the ball quickly instead of holding onto it and delaying the offense’s actions, and the result has been Phoenix running one of the best offenses in the league.
Although Booker recorded 10 assists and more than 7.5 in three of his last four games, we’re leaning toward the under for a couple of reasons. First, the Memphis Grizzlies are down their best perimeter defender (Marcus Smart), which will free up Booker to go to work as a scorer. In addition, the Grizzlies are so bad that this could be a blowout and lead to the Suns’ starters exiting the game early.
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Jalen Brunson Over 23.5 Points (-104) at FanDuel
Brunson started slow but found his rhythm and scored 25+ points in three straight games when last seen, including 25 against the Minnesota Timberwolves’ outstanding defense. He and the New York Knicks draw the Miami Heat on Friday night, which will be a tough matchup.
Despite Miami ranking sixth in points per game allowed, a majority of their best defense comes whenever Bam Adebayo is involved in an action. He shouldn’t end up switching to Brunson, who’s roughly 10 inches shorter, too often, and we believe his hot streak of scoring the ball will continue.
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Reggie Jackson Over 4.5 Assists (+130) at FanDuel
Secondary shot creation and facilitation have been a problem for the Denver Nuggets with Jamal Murray sidelined by a hamstring injury. Nikola Jokic is third in the Association with 8.9 assists per night, but Jackson and Aaron Gordon are second on the Nuggets with only 3.9 assists per night.
Whether through Michael Malone’s instruction or recognition of the problem, Jackson stepped up as a creator this week and notched 15 assists in two games (including nine against the Orlando Magic on Wednesday). It will be interesting to see if this trend holds, but in our opinion, it needs to if the Nuggets are going to continue to be an elite team even without Murray.
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Victor Wembanyama Over 9.5 Rebounds (-122) at FanDuel
Wemby has come into his own as a rebounder lately and now averages 9.5 boards per game for the season. He hauled in 15 rebounds in his last game against the Los Angeles Clippers and 10+ in four of his last six, setting him in the right direction for the over.
The Golden State Warriors are a small team, especially without Draymond Green, and Wemby should be able to use his length to snatch rebounds over their smaller guards. The Warriors also rank sixth in three-point attempts per game, and since Wemby doesn’t camp under the basket like a traditional big man, he should have long rebounds flying in his direction.
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Mike Conley Over 10.5 Points (-115) at FanDuel
Conley and the T’Wolves will take on the Sacramento Kings on Friday night. Although the Kings’ defense looks better than it did last season, the team is only 18th in defensive rating. They also have intermittent ball pressure with Keegan Murray and De’Aaron Fox and interior size with Domantas Sabonis, but they aren’t great at helping off rotations or guarding corner shots.
Conley, at 36, is shooting 41.9% from three and scored 11+ in five of his last eight games. His prowess as a corner shooter should come into play against a Sacramento team that wants to play fast and focus on offense more than defense.
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