Kyle Kuzma Under 21.5 Points (-120) at FanDuel
Kuzma scored 21+ points and averaged 25 over the first seven games of the season before scoring 17 and 15 in his last two games. He also took fewer shots than his per-game season average in each of the last two outings and shot a terrible 33% from the field.
The Toronto Raptors are eighth in defensive rating and field goal percentage allowed, which will make it tough for Kuz. He’s also struggled when playing the Raptors, averaging 13.6 points and scoring more than 16 just once in his last five matchups against them.
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Jayson Tatum 30+ Points (+140) at FanDuel
Tatum scored 30+ in four straight games and five of six to start the season before dropping off pace in his last three games. However, he and the Boston Celtics are preparing to battle the New York Knicks, who have been a favorite opponent of his.
Tatum scored 30+ in four of his last seven games against NY and put up 74 in their last two encounters. The visitors play tremendous defense but don’t have someone who matches up particularly well with Tatum, whether that be because he’s shiftier than Julius Randle or too strong for R.J. Barrett.
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Giannis Antetokunmpo Under 28.5 Points (-111) at FanDuel
The Greek Freak seemed to say “enough” to the Milwaukee Bucks’ slow start to the season and scored 89 points in his last two games. He also scored 36 late last week and was on his way to potentially four straight games of 30+ points before he was ejected against the Detroit Pistons.
So, why do we like his under? Damian Lillard should be back in the lineup after a couple of games out and will reintroduce the offensive indecision that plagued the Bucks in their first few games. Giannis has also remained adamant that he wants Lillard to feel like it’s his team, so we expect him to defer to his new running mate and get him as many shots as possible.
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Harrison Barnes 2+ Threes (+112) at FanDuel
Barnes doesn’t take a ton of threes (4.6 per game), but he’s shooting a career-best 40.5% from beyond the arc and cashed the over in three of his last five games. The Kings are also down star guard De’Aaron Fox, which opens up more shooting opportunities (and is partially why he’s averaged .5 more three this month than he did in October).
The Cleveland Cavaliers were excellent on defense last season but are allowing opponents to shoot 37.9% from outside, which is just 25th in the league. Their pace of play is also up to 20th, while the Kings are seventh.
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Darius Garland over 6.5 Assists (-113) at FanDuel
Sticking in the same game, Garland has not been the playmaker he has in years past and is averaging 6.2 assists. He had four assists in his last game but dished out nine the game before and seven before that, and we believe he has a great chance to boost his average on Monday.
The Kings are not defensive stalwarts themselves and rank 16th in defensive rating. Garland’s two most recent games also set marks for season highs, and he should play more minutes and feel more comfortable with every passing game as he returns from an injury.
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