Why Ty? Is Gibbs really the favorite over experienced road course aces?
AJ Allmendinger has been be a major force in NASCAR’s junior series.
Shane van Gisbergen goes for second straight road course triumph.
Odds taken from Caesars Sportsbook. Click the bets below to place your bets here, where you can get $1,000 First Bet on Caesars.
Driver | Odds |
---|---|
Ty Gibbs | +250 BET HERE |
Shane van Gisbergen | +290 BET HERE |
AJ Allmendinger | +290 BET HERE |
Sam Mayer | +950 BET HERE |
Sheldon Creed | +1200 BET HERE |
Justin Allgaier | +1000 BET HERE |
Cole Custer | +1000 BET HERE |
Parker Kligerman | +2000 BET HERE |
Austin Hill | +2000 BET HERE |
John Hunter Nemechek | +2800 BET HERE |
Sammy Smith | +5000 BET HERE |
Shane van Gisbergen to win the race at (+290) at Caesars
Sammy Smith to finish in the top three at (+1400) at Caesars
Justin Allgaier to beat Cole Custer head-to-head at (-115) at DraftKings
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Frankly, we’re mystified by the oddsmakers’ choice in this race.
Sure, Ty Gibbs started seventh and finished fourth last year in the NASCAR Xfinity Series’ first visit to Sonoma Raceway.
And, yes, four of Gibbs’ 12 Xfinity Series wins have come on road courses, the last at the Indianapolis Grand Prix course in 2023.
Given the quality of the competition in Saturday’s race, however, we can’t see the 21-year-old Joe Gibbs Racing driver as the favorite.
So we’re advising you to steer clear of the young driver this week, especially at the miserly +250 price offered by Caesars Sportsbook.
Any time AJ Allmendinger tightens his belts for a NASCAR Xfinity Series race on a road course, he has to be considered a threat.
Eleven of Allmendinger’s 17 wins in NASCAR’s junior series have come on road courses, which also have accounted for all three of his victories in the NASCAR Cup Series.
In last year’s Xfinity race at Sonoma, Allmendinger started fifth and finished second to Aric Almirola, 1.868 seconds behind the race winner.
But Allmendinger’s Cup record at Sonoma—a much larger body of work—gives us pause. In 12 starts, the Dinger has yet to score a top-five finish.
Consequently, we’re avoiding the driver of the No. 16 Kaulig Racing Chevrolet at +300 via Caesars Sportbook.
The floodgates may be open after Shane van Gisbergen’s maiden NASCAR Xfinity Series victory last Saturday at Portland International Raceway.
The three-time Australian Supercars champion had difficulty with restarts early in that race, but he mastered the final one and pulled away to win.
Now assured of a Playoff spot, van Gisbergen can race with even more freedom than he’s exhibited thus far, and the technical track at Sonoma will suit his right-foot braking technique.
Last week, we recommended the New Zealander over Allmendinger at identical odds, and we’re doing the same this week - van Gisbergen to win at +300 at Caesars Sportbook, with a recommendation to get your bet down before qualifying.
Race: Zip Buy Now, Pay Later 250 Xfinity Series race
Location: Sonoma Raceway
Time: Saturday, June 8, 8:30 p.m. ET
How to Watch: FS1
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