Pocono Organics 150 Truck Series - Predictions, Odds & Picks

• Ross Chastain is looking for a repeat performance at Pocono, and he’s the only driver who can make that happen.
• Among full-time Truck Series drivers, ThorSport Racing’s Grant Enfinger has an exclusive on victories—and Playoff points—so far this season.
• Three drivers have competed in all 10 Pocono Truck races, but only two are likely to contend for the win on Saturday.

The Pocono Organics 150 is an appetizer for the Pocono Organics 325 NASCAR Cup Series race that follows at 3:30 p.m. Both events are part of an action-filled weekend at the Tricky Triangle, where two Cup races have been condensed into one weekend at the same track for the first time in NASCAR history.

The 10 previous Truck Series races at Pocono have produced nine different winners. The only repeater is Kyle Busch, who is not in the field on Saturday. Busch has enough to do with 675 miles in his Cup car over the course of the weekend.

The NASCAR Trucks will race for 60 laps around the 2.5-mile triangular track, with stage breaks scheduled at 15 and 30 laps—barely enough time to get the feel of a vehicle. Ross Chastain, now a full-time NASCAR Xfinity Series competitor, will defend his victory from last year.

NASCAR Truck Series at Pocono Odds

Odds taken 26 June, 2020, from DraftKings

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Ross Chastain Is the Only Driver Who Can Get a Second Pocono Win

Ross Chastain, the watermelon farmer from Florida, arrives at Pocono with his pockets jingling with the $100,000 bonus he won at Talladega in the third NASCAR Xfinity Series Dash 4 Cash race of the season. The second place was good enough to secure the big payoff, but Chastain is hungry for a victory, and Saturday’s Pocono Organics 150 is a good place to find one.

Chastain, who won at Pocono for Niece Motorsports last year, is driving Al Niece’s No. 40 Chevrolet this weekend. In fact, he’s the only former Pocono winner in the field on Saturday. In the 11th Truck race at the Tricky Triangle, Chastain can join Kyle Busch as the only two-time winner at the track—and he won’t have to beat Busch to do so.

Including last year’s Pocono victory, Chastain (+600) won three times and posted 19 top 10s in 23 races. He finished the season in second place in the series standings. This year, Chastain is moonlighting in Trucks as he competes in for the Xfinity crown, but his experience should serve him well on Saturday.

ThorSport’s Grant Enfinger Hopes to Keep His Shutout Intact

In five NASCAR Gander RV & Outdoors Truck Series races this season, Grant Enfinger (+1300) has earned several important distinctions. First, he’s the only full-time Truck Series competitor to have won a race, having triumphed in the season opener at Daytona and June 6 at Atlanta Motor Speedway.

On the basis of those victories, Enfinger is the only driver who has locked up a spot in the series Playoffs. And the driver of the No. 98 Ford is the only competitor who has collected Playoff points this season. Enfinger has 11—five for each of his victories and one for a stage win. Everyone else competing for the series championship has zero.

NASCAR Cup stars Chase Elliott and Kyle Busch have accounted for the other three Truck Series triumphs this season, but they won’t be racing in the lower division this Saturday. Consequently, it’s unlikely Enfinger can keep his unblemished record intact unless he sweeps both stages and wins the race—or unless one of the Xfinity interlopers like Chastain or Brandon Jones (+750) pitches in to keep the other series regulars pointless.

Three Drivers Share a Wealth of Truck Series Experience at Pocono

If experience counts for anything, three drivers should have an edge entering Saturday’s race—or at least two of them should. Three-time and defending series champion Matt Crafton, 2016 champion Johnny Sauter and Norm Benning are the only drivers to have competed in all 10 Truck races held at Pocono.

Of the three, Benning doesn’t drive winning equipment, but Crafton (+2000) and Sauter (+850) are capable of putting their F-150s in Victory Lane. Here’s a word of caution, though: Sauter has completed a series-record 563 laps at the Tricky Triangle, but he has led only 16 of those laps.

Crafton’s stats are even more dubious. Of the 529 laps he has completed at Pocono, he has led exactly one.

Our Pick

Ross Chastain (+400)—Consider this a gift. The only thing Chastain will have to overcome is a 16th-place starting position. Yes, seven of the 10 Truck races at Pocono have been won from the front row, and none deeper than sixth on the grid. But with no qualifying in NASCAR’s post-hiatus reality, that won’t prove an insurmountable obstacle.