Odds taken from DraftKings Sportsbook.
Winner | Odds |
William Byron | +600 |
Christopher Bell | +650 |
Chase Elliott | +700 |
Denny Hamlin | +750 |
Kyle Larson | +800 |
Martin Truex Jr. | +850 |
Ryan Blaney | +1100 |
Joey Logano | +1200 |
Kyle Busch | +1400 |
Ross Chastain | +1600 |
Alex Bowman | +2000 |
Same pick. Same price. We delivered Christopher Bell as the winner of last Sunday’s Food City Dirt Race at +650 via DraftKings Sportsbook and can’t find a reason not to pick the Baby-Faced Assassin at the same odds this Sunday at Martinsville.
Not only did Bell win at Bristol, but he also took over the NASCAR Cup Series lead from Ross Chastain. In eight races so far this season, Bell has posted six finishes of sixth or better.
Consider also that the driver of the No. 20 Joe Gibbs Racing Toyota won last year’s Playoff race at Martinsville. His cars have been consistently fast this season, and we expect that trend to continue Sunday at the .526-mile paper-clip-shaped track.
Hence, for the second straight week, Bell is our pick to win at +650 (DraftKings).
The Appeals Panel giveth, and NASCAR taketh away. A week after the NASCAR Appeals Panel rescinded the points portion of penalties to Hendrick Motorsports drivers for unauthorized modifications to the louvers on its Chevrolets, NASCAR docked Hendrick drivers William Byron and Alex Bowman 60 points each for infractions involving the greenhouses of their Camaros.
The penalty knocked Byron back to 14th in the series standings. With two victories in the first eight races this season, Byron is guaranteed a spot in the Playoffs, but he needs to gain spots in the standings to earn regular-season bonus points.
Byron is the defending winner of the spring race at Martinsville, and we don’t doubt that he’ll be strong again on Sunday. After all, he’s the oddsmakers’ favorite at +600 via DraftKings.
We just think Christopher Bell will be better.
Last weekend at Bristol, Joey Logano experienced the extreme ends of the competitive spectrum.
On Saturday, he won the NASCAR CRAFTSMAN Truck Series race on the half-mile dirt track. On Sunday, he was involved in an early crash and finished last in the NASCAR Cup event.
In the NOCO 400, Logano hopes to break Ford’s seven-race drought at Martinsville. The driver of the No. 22 Team Penske Ford has one victory at the track, but five of his 28 career poles have come at the venerable speedway.
We think Logano is likely to have the fastest Ford on Sunday. We just don’t think he’ll win the race, as tempting as his +1200 price may be (via DraftKings).
We’re also not backing Chase Elliott (+700 DraftKings), who has missed six races with a broken left tibia, the result of a snowboarding accident. We think it will be too difficult to shake off six weeks of inactivity at a heavy-braking track like Martinsville.
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