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Kansas Lottery 300 Predictions: NASCAR Xfinity Playoffs Finally Begin

Contributors
Updated September 27, 2024
4 min read
  • There are several long-shot picks worth considering at Kansas Speedway.

  • We can’t fight fate when it comes to Justin Allgaier’s status as favorite.

  • Could this be the week Sheldon Creed finally gets a breakthrough victory?

Kansas Lottery 300 Betting Odds

The following odds are taken from bet365 Sportsbook. Use our promo code WSN365 at bet365 to claim your bonus of choice: $1,000 Safety Net Bet OR $150 in Bonus Bets.

Driver Odds
Justin Allgaier +320
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Cole Custer +400
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Chandler Smith +600
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Aric Almirola +900
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Sheldon Creed +1000
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Austin Hill +1000
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Connor Zilisch +1200
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Sam Mayer +1400
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Brandon Jones +1400
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AJ Allmendinger +1400
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Riley Herbst +1400
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Our Picks for the Kansas Lottery 300

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Kansas Lottery 300 Predictions

Kansas Lottery 300 Predictions

Saturday’s Race Features Potentially Interesting Long-Shot Picks

As the NASCAR Xfinity Series Playoffs get under way weeks after both the NASCAR Cup and Truck Series started their postseasons, we think there are potential opportunities in the Kansas Lottery 300 among drivers who failed to make the Playoffs.

The first is Brandon Jones, who has been beset by ill fortune throughout the season. Driving highly-regarded JR Motorsports equipment, Jones has scored just one top five this season. But he has won two pole positions.

The speed is there, if Jones can finish a race. His lone top five was a runner-up result at Charlotte, a 1.5-mile speedway like this weekend’s venue, Kansas Speedway. Jones, who won back-to-back Kansas races in 2019 and 2020, is worth a look at +1400 to win and +400 to finish in the top three, both via bet365.

Similarly, Anthony Alfredo is a great long-shot bet to finish in the top five at a whopping +3000 via bet365. Alfredo doesn’t run top-five very often, but he has been quick of late, and four of his career top fives have come on downforce tracks.

We also like underrated Corey Heim, doing double duty from the Truck Series, to run top five at +700 via bet365 in equipment fielded by Sam Hunt Racing.

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We’ve Learned Our Lesson - No More Justin Allgaier as Favorite

Last week, we picked pre-race favorite Justin Allgaier to win the final regular-season NASCAR Xfinity Series race at Bristol Motor Speedway.

As it turned out, Allgaier had the fastest car in the race and led the first 52 laps under green-flag conditions. Then the car of Austin Green bounced off the outside wall into Allgaier’s path, causing the first of two wrecks that cost Allgaier not only a chance to win but also deprived him of the regular-season championship.

Our luck with Allgaier this season has been almost as bad as his. Hence, we vow as of this writing not to pick him to win when he’s favored, as he is in Saturday’s Kansas Lottery 300, the first race of Xfinity Playoffs.

Allgaier may be the top seed in the postseason, but we’re steering clear at +320 via bet365 at least until his racing luck improves.

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It’s High Time for Sheldon Creed to Get His Breakthrough Xfinity Win

Sheldon Creed has made 96 starts in the NASCAR Xfinity Series. His best finish in the series is second—13 times, a record for a driver who has yet to win a race.

In fact, Creed finish second in his last two races, at the Watkins Glen International road course and at Bristol Motor Speedway.

Entering the series Playoffs, Creed has scored top-five finishes in six of his last eight races. He has just two Xfinity starts at Kansas Speedway but finished third in his most recent event there last year.

So we’re going to go boldly where Sheldon Creed has never gone before—to Victory Lane—and pick him to win Saturday’s Kansas Lottery 300 at +1000 via bet365.

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How to Watch the Kansas Lottery 300

Event Information:

  • Race: Kansas Lottery 300 NASCAR Xfinity Series race

  • Location: Kansas Speedway

  • Time: Saturday, September 28, 4 p.m. ET

  • How to Watch: The CW

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Reid Spencer

Reid Spencer

NASCAR Betting Analyst

Expertise:
NASCAR
Betting Analyst
Award-winning motorsports writer Reid Spencer has served as lead writer for the NASCAR Wire Service for 16 years, having also spent a four-year stint as NASCAR columnist and beat writer for Sporting News. He is currently serving as president of the National Motorsports Press Association.
Email: [email protected]
Nationality: American
Education: Bachelor in Drama
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Experience: 48 years
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