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Hollywood Casino 400 Predictions: Kyle Larson Coming off Statement Win

Contributors
Updated September 27, 2024
5 min read
  • Denny Hamlin turns aggressive after successful run in Bristol Night Race.

  • Chase Elliott is quietly confident as NASCAR Cup Series Playoffs progress.

  • Kyle Larson looks for Kansas Speedway sweep after dominant victory at Bristol.

Hollywood Casino 400 Betting Odds

The following odds are taken from bet365 Sportsbook. Use our promo code WSN365 at bet365 to claim your bonus of choice: $1,000 Safety Net Bet OR $150 in Bonus Bets.

Driver Odds
Kyle Larson +350
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Denny Hamlin +400
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Tyler Reddick +700
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William Byron +900
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Martin Truex Jr. +1000
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Christopher Bell +1000
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Ryan Blaney +1200
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Chase Elliott +1400
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Chris Buescher +1400
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Kyle Busch +2000
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Ty Gibbs +2000
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Our Picks for the Hollywood Casino 400

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Hollywood Casino 400 Predictions

Hollywood Casino 400 Predictions

Denny Hamlin Says It’s Game - On after Successful Run at Bristol

With a fourth-place run on last Saturday’s Bass Pro Shops Night Race at Bristol Motor Speedway, Denny Hamlin advanced to the Round of 12 in the NASCAR Cup Series Playoffs with a fourth-place run.

Admittedly, Hamlin’s performance in the first two Round of 16 races left something to be desired, but the driver of the No. 11 Joe Gibbs Racing Toyota expressed confidence entering the first race of the Round of 12 at Kansas Speedway.

“It’s game-on from here,” Hamlin said. “We need to be on the offensive from the start of practice this weekend and put ourselves in position to get stage points and have an opportunity to win the race or get a solid finish to set ourselves up for Talladega and the (Charlotte) ROVAL (the final two races in the Round of 12).

“Kansas has historically been one of our better tracks, maybe our best, honestly, so we are more than capable.”

Indeed, Hamlin leads all active drivers with four Kansas victories. Though we expect another strong run from the veteran driver on Sunday, we don’t think he’ll win the race, and we’re not going to back him at +400 via bet365.

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Chase Elliott Has Been Sneaky - Good When It Counts This Year

Chase Elliott hasn’t spent much time in the limelight during the 2024 NASCAR Cup Series season.

The driver of the No. 9 Hendrick Motorsports Chevrolet got his only win of the year at Texas Motor Speedway in April, but he has posted eight top fives and 14 top 10s and is currently seventh in the Playoff standings.

Largely overlooked in Kyle Larson’s dominating victory last Saturday in the Bristol Night Race was Elliott’s solid second-place finish.

Elliott is one of five Playoff drivers who have won at least one race at Kansas Speedway. In his last 12 starts at the 1.5-mile track, he has finished seventh or better nine times, including the victory in the 2018 Playoff race and two runner-up results.

Though we’re not picking Elliott to win Sunday’s Hollywood Casino 400, we do like him to finish in the top three at +450 via bet365.

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Kyle Larson Goes for Two Straight Wins - in More Ways Than One

Kyle Larson made an emphatic statement in last Saturday’s Round of 16 elimination race at Bristol Motor Speedway.

The driver of the No. 5 Hendrick Motorsports Chevrolet won the first two stages, led 462 of 500 laps and beat teammate Chase Elliott to the finish line by 7.088 second—a victory we predicted in last week’s preview.

Larson is a two-time winner at Kansas Speedway. He triumphed in the most recent race at the track in May and looks to achieve a season sweep on Sunday in addition to winning a second straight Playoff race.

In the last six events at the 1.5-mile intermediate speedway, Larson has finished no worse than eighth. He has scored two victories and two runner-up finishes during that stretch.

The top seed entering the Round of 12 of the NASCAR Cup Series Playoffs, Larson has momentum on his side, and we expect to find him Victory Lane for the sixth time this season on Sunday at +350 via bet365.

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How to Watch the Hollywood Casino 400

  • What: Hollywood Casino 400 NASCAR Cup Series race

  • Where: Kansas Speedway

  • When: Sunday, September 29, 3 p.m. ET

  • How to Watch: USA

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Reid Spencer

Reid Spencer

NASCAR Betting Analyst

Expertise:
NASCAR
Betting Analyst
Award-winning motorsports writer Reid Spencer has served as lead writer for the NASCAR Wire Service for 16 years, having also spent a four-year stint as NASCAR columnist and beat writer for Sporting News. He is currently serving as president of the National Motorsports Press Association.
Email: [email protected]
Nationality: American
Education: Bachelor in Drama
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Experience: 48 years
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