Foxwoods Resort Casino 301 Predictions, Picks & Odds (Cup Series)

• Defending winner Brad Keselowski hasn’t announced plans for next year—yet.
• After a major dry spell at New Hampshire, Chevy drivers hope for a breakthrough win.
• Harvick or Hamlin—again. Will either driver win a NASCAR Cup race this year?

Foxwoods Resort Casino 301 Predictions & Odds

The odds for this match are provided by DraftKings sportsbook. Click on the odds below to head to DraftKings and place a bet.

On Sunday, the NASCAR Cup Series heads to New Hampshire Motor Speedway for the northernmost race on the schedule.

NHMS is a quirky 1.058-mile asphalt flat track that stands in sharp contract to the high-speed 1.5-mile banked ovals that are the bread and butter of NASCAR’s top division.

Sunday’s Foxwoods Resort Casino 301 will be contested over 301 laps (318.46 miles), with stage breaks scheduled after 75 and 185 laps. Brad Keselowski is the defending winner.

How to Watch Foxwoods Resort Casino 301

Brad Keselowski Wants to Keep Winning in No. 2 Ford—Until He Leaves

On Thursday, July 15, Team Penske announced that Austin Cindric would move next year into the No. 2 Ford currently occupied by Brad Keselowski.

Though Keselowski hasn’t announced it yet, the worst-kept secret in the NASCAR garage is that he will head for Roush Fenway Racing in 2022, with an ownership stake as part of the package.

That doesn’t mean Keselowski will lose any ardor when it comes to competing for race wins and a possible championship this season. He’d like nothing better than to leave Team Penske as a winner, and Sunday’s race provides an excellent opportunity.

Keselowski’s recent results haven’t been stellar, but New Hampshire is a unique challenge, and the driver of the No. 2 Ford has a great feel for the track. In 20 starts at NHMS, Keselowski has two wins, eight top fives, and an average finish of 10.5.

At +650 via DraftKings Sportsbook, Keselowski is well worth your consideration.

Chervolet Drivers Hope to Break New Hampshire Drought on Sunday

Since 2012, New Hampshire Motor Speedway has been kryptonite to Chevrolet. In the past 14 races there, only once has a Chevy driver been to Victory Lane.

That was Kevin Harvick in 2016, before Stewart-Haas Racing switched to Ford. But with the strength Hendrick Motorsports has displayed this season, a Chevy victory should be on the offing—right?

Not necessarily. Hendrick had found an aerodynamic advantage with the nose of its Chevrolets, and NASCAR recently mandated a change to that area. Did you notice that the Hendrick cars weren’t dominant at Atlanta?

Reigning Cup champion Chase Elliott (+800 via DarftKings Sportsbook) starts third but has a best finish of fifth in seven starts at the track. Atlanta winner Kurt Busch (+2800) had three early wins at Loudon but hasn’t run well there in more than a decade.

The best pick among the Chevy drivers is Kyle Larson (+550), who has two runner-up finishes in his last four starts at NHMS. But we’re inclined to believe that the Bow-Tie Brigade won’t be taking the checkered flag on Sunday.

Harvick or Hamlin—Will Either Driver Win a Regular-Season Race This Year?

We’ve been asking this question periodically this year, as the two most prolific drivers from 2020 continue to struggle.

A nine-time winner last season, Harvick has suffered through a campaign in which his cars have ranged from not-quite-good-enough to “horrible,” as he described his No. 4 Ford last Sunday at Atlanta.

Harvick has three victories at Loudon, most recently in 2018 and 2019, but his cars simply haven’t shown the speed necessary to cash a winner’s check anywhere this year. He’s on the board at a tempting +1500, but we don’t think a victory is in the cards this weekend.

We’re more inclined to back Denny Hamlin, who won seven times in 2020. Though he has been shut out so far this year, Hamlin, a three-time New Hampshire winner, opened as the favorite at +475 via DraftKings Sportsbook.

We think a better (and more daring) bet is Hamlin’s teammate Christopher Bell at +2000. Bell will get ample track time in Saturday’s Xfinity Series race, where he is the two-time defending winner.