NASCAR Cup Series Championship Predictions, Odds, Picks 2024: Team Penske Has Two Shots at Title

• Tyler Reddick will try to win the Cup championship in his first attempt.

• William Byron brings recent experience to NASCAR Cup Series title event.

• Joey Logano has an edge in experience—and an edge in number of titles.

NASCAR Cup Series Championship Betting Odds

Odds taken from bet365 Sportsbook. Head over to bet365 to place your bets on the NASCAR Cup Series Championship and claim the bonus of your choice: $1,000 Safety Net Bet OR $150 in Bonus Bets.

My Pick for the NASCAR Cup Championship

• Joey Logano to win the championship at +280 at bet365 Sportsbook

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NASCAR Cup Championship Predictions

Can Tyler Reddick Win a NASCAR Cup Title in His First Attempt?

Tyler Reddick qualified for the NASCAR Cup Series Championship 4 for the first time, thanks to a victory at Homestead-Miami Speedway in the Round of 8 of the Cup Playoffs.

Reddick is one of four drivers who can claim the title by finishing higher than the other three eligible competitors—defending champion Ryan Blaney, 2022 champion Joey Logano and William Byron.

As a first-timer, Reddick is the least experienced of the four, and he has never won at Phoenix Raceway, though he has finished third twice in the spring event at the one-mile track in the Sonoran Desert.

In the 2024 spring event, Reddick led 68 laps, tied for most with his 23XI Racing team owner, Denny Hamlin, as Toyota driver led 298 of the 312 circuits.

Reddick is the only Toyota driver to have won a Cup race since Christopher Bell triumphed at New Hampshire on June 23, and the Homestead win gives him momentum.

In a race where experience is one of the most valuable assets, however, we’re looking elsewhere for the champion, so our advice is to steer clear of Reddick at +340 via bet365 Sportsbook.

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William Byron Made It to Championship 4 by the Skin of His Teeth

Last Sunday at Martinsville Speedway, William Byron finished sixth and had to wait for 27 minutes while NASCAR sorted through the finish of the Xfinity 500.

Ultimately, the sanctioning body penalized Christopher Bell four positions for riding the wall on the final lap, and Byron was the last driver to make the championship field. Without the penalty, Bell would have earned the spot on a tiebreaker.

Frankly, Byron is a tempting bet at +250 via bet365. He won three of the first 11 races this season, and after a summer slump—from a results point of view—his performance has improved in the Playoffs.

Byron won the spring race at Phoenix in 2023, but he hasn’t won in nine Playoff events this year. That’s one reason why we’re not picking him to win the 2024 title.

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Joey Logano Seems Genuinely Relaxed as Championship Race Nears

Joey Logano got a huge break in the Round of 12 of the NASCAR Cup Series Playoffs. In the Round of 12, Alex Bowman’s disqualification for an underweight car restored Logano to the Playoff field and gave him a second life.

Logano promptly won the Round of 8 opener at Las Vegas Motor Speedway and earned an extra two weeks to prepare for the season finale at Phoenix.

The driver of the No. 22 Team Penske Ford is a two-time Cup champion, tied with Kyle Busch for most among full-time active drivers, and he seems focused and relaxed entering the title race.

Even though his Team Penske teammate, Ryan Blaney, is riding the momentum of a walk-off win at Martinsville in his quest for a second straight championship, we like Logano’s experience of six appearances in the Championship 4 to prevail.

We also love Logano’s +280 price at bet365.

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How to Watch the NASCAR Cup Championship

• Race: NASCAR Cup Series Championship Race

• Location: Phoenix Raceway

• Time: Sunday, November 10, 3 p.m. ET

• How to Watch: NBC