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Cabo Wabo 250 Predictions: Horsepower Is the Key to Victory

Contributors
Updated August 16, 2024
4 min read
  • Double-duty driver John Hunter Nemechek is the defending winner of this race.

  • AJ Allmendinger hopes to pick up first Playoff points in less-than-stellar season.

  • Cole Custer has the horsepower to extend Stewart-Haas Racing’s winning streak.

Cabo Wabo 250 Betting Odds

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Driver Odds
John Hunter Nemechek +400
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Cole Custer +450
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Justin Allgaier +650
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Riley Herbst +700
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Austin Hill +900
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Sam Mayer +1100
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AJ Allmendinger +1300
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Jesse Love +1400
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Chandler Smith +1400
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Brandon Jones +1600
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Sheldon Creed +1600
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Our Picks for the Cabo Wabo 250

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Cabo Wabo 250 Predictions

Cabo Wabo 250 Predictions

John Hunter Nemechek Tries to Go Back-to-Back in Double Duty Role

Full-time NASCAR Cup Series driver John Hunter Nemechek is making his 11th NASCAR Xfinity Series start of the season in Saturday’s Cabo Wabo 250 at Michigan International Speedway.

So far this season, the part-time Xfinity Series campaign has been an up-and-down affair for the driver of the No. 20 Joe Gibbs Racing Toyota.

Nemechek has posted two victories in his 10 previous starts, at Las Vegas and Nashville, but he also has endured five finishes outside the top 20.

We think Saturday will be one of the lackluster days for Nemechek, and we advise steering clear of the race favorite, who is posted at +400 at BetMGM

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AJ Allmendinger Seeks First Playoff Points in Lackluster Season

Typically, you’d expect AJ Allmendinger to have at least one road course victory at this point in the NASCAR Xfinity Series season.

The problem is that New Zealander Shane van Gisbergen, a three-time Australian Supercars champion, has stolen Allmendinger’s thunder this year.

In fact, Allmendinger’s best, most consistent performances have come on the intermediate downforce ovals, where he has posted six of his 10 top 10s this season.

Michigan International Speedway is a high-speed downforce track, and Allmendinger scored a victory at the 2.0-mile venue in 2021. So far this season, he’s winless and devoid of Playoff points.

Though Kaulig Racing has been short on speed this season, the organization has enjoyed a three-week Olympic break to cure its ills.

Accordingly, we like Allmendinger to finish in the top three this weekend at +350 via BetMGM

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Cole Custer Should Have the Horsepower to Extend Stewart-Haas Streak

There’s a bounce in Cole Custer’s step these days. Before the Olympic break, Custer affirmed he’ll return to the NASCAR Cup Series next year with the Haas Factory Team, successor to Stewart-Haas Racing.

A week earlier, Custer had claimed his first victory of the season at Pocono—a win we predicted, by the way.

At Indy, after the Haas Factory Team announcement, teammate Riley Herbst took the checkered flag, with Custer a close second.

Horsepower is the key at 2.0-mile Michigan, and SHR’s consecutive wins have come at facilities that demand speed.

Custer is the defending series champion, and we expect him to pick up his second win of the season on Saturday at +450 via BetMGM. And remember, we were right about his first victory.

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How to Watch the Explore the Cabo Wabo 250

  • Race: Cabo Wabo 250 NASCAR Xfinity Series race

  • Location: Michigan International Speedway

  • Time: Saturday, August 17, 3:30 p.m. ET

  • How to Watch: USA 

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Reid Spencer

Reid Spencer

NASCAR Betting Analyst

Expertise:
NASCAR
Betting Analyst
Award-winning motorsports writer Reid Spencer has served as lead writer for the NASCAR Wire Service for 16 years, having also spent a four-year stint as NASCAR columnist and beat writer for Sporting News. He is currently serving as president of the National Motorsports Press Association.
Email: [email protected]
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