Ag-Pro 300 Predictions: Austin Hill Is Back in the Spotlight

• To put it bluntly, Austin Hill shouldn’t be the heavy favorite at Talladega.

• Oddsmakers are ignoring two-time Talladega winner Jeb Burton for no reason.

• Aric Almirola returns to action as a major threat at NASCAR’s biggest oval.

Ag-Pro 300 Betting Odds

Odds taken from bet365 Sportsbook. Use our promo code WSN365 and claim $150 in bonus bets with a $5 wager, regardless of the bet outcome.

Our Picks for the Ag-Pro 300

Aric Almirola to win the race at +1200 via bet365

Jeb Burton to finish in the top three (+1400) and top five (+650) via bet365

Ag-Pro 300 Predictions

For Austin Hill, the Magic Simply Hasn’t Been There at Talladega

Any time you’re faced with picking a NASCAR Xfinity Series favorite at either Daytona or Atlanta, the choice is obvious.

Based on his impeccable record at those two tracks, Austin Hill is guaranteed to be your odds-on selection.

Clearly, Hill’s success on those two drafting tracks has led oddsmakers to install him as the favorite at Talladega this weekend.

The driver of the No. 21 Richard Childress Racing Chevrolet is priced at +300 via bet365 Sportsbook, but we don’t think it’s wise to extrapolate his Daytona and Atlanta results to Talladega.

Hill has won three times at Daytona and five times at Atlanta. Though he has won three poles at Talladega, he has never finished in the top 10 in six starts there.

Based on that record, we can’t pick Hill to win this weekend, even though the oddsmakers have.

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Jeb Burton Deserves a Lot More Respect Than He’s Getting This Week

How can you ignore Jeb Burton at Talladega Superspeedway? That’s an excellent question for the oddsmakers.

In nine starts at the 2.66-mile behemoth of a track, Burton has won twice and finished in the top 10 six times for an average result of 8.6.

Even more remarkably, he has finished on the lead lap in every race, and he has accomplished that feat while driving for five different car owners.

Burton is a tempting bet to win at +4000 via bet365, but we’re even more confident picking him to finish in the top three (+1400) and top five (+650) via bet365.

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Aric Almirola Returns to Action at a Track Where He Has Excelled

Part-timer Aric Almirola is an accomplished superspeedway racer. Two of his three NASCAR Cup Series victories have come on drafting tracks—Daytona and Talladega.

In addition, Almirola has scored one victory in six NASCAR Xfinity Series starts at Talladega, as well as three 10th-place finishes.

He has finished on the lead lap in all six of his Talladega starts.

We think Almirola is underrated at +1200 via bet365, and we’re picking him to win over Jeb Burton simply because Almirola is driving superior Joe Gibbs Racing equipment.

However, we wouldn’t demur if you’d like to take a shot on Burton at +4000 via bet365.

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How to Watch the Ag-Pro 300

• Race: Ag-Pro 300 NASCAR Xfinity Series race

• Location: Talladega Superspeedway

• Time: Saturday, April 26, 4 p.m. ET

• How to Watch: The CW