Saturday evening one of the fiercest rivalries in MLS will take place at Stade Saputo as CF Montreal hosts Toronto FC in the Canadian Classique. The most recent encounter took place back on May 18th, when Toronto FC walloped Montreal winning 5-1 at BMO Field. Head-to-head in their previous 42 encounters CF Montreal posses the slight edge winning on 19 occasions versus Toronto’s 18. The points being shared have occurred five times since 2012 in all competitions.
CF Montreal had to work for their point on Wednesday evening in their 2-2 draw against the New York Red Bulls. The match was delayed at the halfway mark due to inclement weather. Both of Le CFM goals were registered by MLS veteran Josef Martinez. Despite owning 64 percent of the ball possession, Montreal was outshot 15 to seven.
Meanwhile, Toronto FC are coming off a 3-1 defeat in midweek play to Messi-less Inter Miami on the road. In MLS play the Reds have now lost their last four away matches. Overall, in their last 12 games in all competitions, TFC’s play has plummeted after their positive start only managing to fetch one victory in that span.
Here, we will break down the betting odds and share our favourite picks for CF Montreal vs. Toronto FC.
The books have elected this affair on Saturday could feature some goals being scored. The books have listed the over 2.5 goals at -163. The under 2.5 goals is priced at +125.
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26-year-old Matias Coccaro's first season in MLS has been a bright spot for Montreal upfront on the attack. The Uruguayan has four goals and an assist in over 600 minutes of play. Since suffering the setback in April, the striker is hoping to return to his pre-injury form as he has only managed to get on the score sheet once in his last seven outings.
Returning from a heroic team performance with Canada at the Copa America, Mathieu Choiniere has been the main man dictating the match in the middle of the pitch. The two-time MLS all-star given space, will make the opposition pay with his slick style of play. Starting in 16 matches, the 25-year-old has picked up two goals and three assist to his 2024 stats.
With eight goals and six assists, without a doubt, Federico Bernardeschi is a figurehead to carry the club offensively. Already hitting career-high totals in his MLS stint, he will be one of the main reasons Toronto can hit the scoreboard with Bernardeschi’s technique he displays. The Euro 2020 winner has amassed 85 shots total appearing in 1954 minutes played in MLS.
Another Euro 2020 winner with Italy that’s on TFC’s squad is Lorenzo Insigne. One of the league's highest-paid players hasn’t fully lived up to the expectations that came with signing in 2022. He has shown moments of brilliance with his trickery when healthy or if his heart is in the game. In 17 MLS matches, the 33-year-old has registered four goals and six assists.
On and off the pitch we should expect some fireworks in the final regular season version of the Canadian Classique. Both clubs have solid trends in playing in matches that go over 2.5 goals. With the league average currently at 62 percent, Montreal matches have gone over the total in 67 percent of their games while for Toronto it is greater hitting 72 percent of the time. In their last 12 clashes, the over 2.5 goals have struck in eight instances. These two bitter rivals usually put on a show and see no reason why both teams can hit the back of the net with the current trends that are presented.
CF Montreal vs. Toronto FC pick: Over 2.5 goals (-163) at bet365
When: Saturday, July 20, 7.30 p.m ET
Where: Stade Saputo
TV: Apple TV
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