Washington Nationals vs Miami Marlins: Predictions, Odds and Roster Notes

Where: Marlins Park, Miami, FL

When: Thursday, June 27th at 7:00 PM EST

How (TV/Radio): Marlins TV/Radio: Fox Sports Florida, WINZ 940 AM. Nationals TV/Radio: MASN, WJFK/106.7 FM.

Team Notes

Washington Nationals

Washington continues to float around .500 for the season, but on the road they are 17-21 this season in their first 38 games away from Nationals Park.

Washington has a 23.7% chance to reach the postseason in 2019 and a 1.0% chance to win the World Series according to Baseball Reference.

The Nationals have 17-1 odds to win the NL and dropped to 30-1 to take the World Series.

Miami Marlins

The Marlins are a surprising 20-17 in their last 37 games, after starting 10-30 in the team’s first 40 games in 2019.

Miami are essentially out of the playoff race with a >0.1% chance to reach the playoffs and a >0.1% probability to win the World Series.

The Marlins have 2500-1 odds to win the National League and have 5000-1 odds to take the World Series.

Pitcher Notes

Nationals: Stephen Strasburg (8-4, 3.79 ERA)

Strasburg has been in a slump, throwing three bad starts in his last four outings.

In his last start, Strasburg did capture a quality start with three earned runs allowed over six innings in a 4-3 win against the Braves.

• In June, Strasburg’s ERA climbed to 5.87 for the month after two consecutive months under 3.50.
• For the year, opposing hitters are batting .221 against the power right-hander.
• The Nationals starter also saw a dip in his strikeout rate with 22 Ks in 23 innings.

Marlins: Sandy Alcantara (4-6, 3.51 ERA)

The Marlins rookie has rebounded well in June, posting a 2-1 record, allowing just six earned runs in his four starts this month.

Alcantara has struck out 23 hitters in his 25.2 June innings for a big bounceback for his K rate as opposed to the last two months.

• In his last 11 innings at Marlins Park, Alcantara has struck out 12 hitters and allowed a .266 average.
• Alcantara has posted three quality starts in his last four outings.
• The Marlins starter has posted a 2.10 ERA in his last four starts.

Hitter Notes

Washington Nationals

The Nationals offense is hitting .265 in June, fueling the 13-7 record Washington has this month.

Against right-handers, the Nats are hitting .242 with 77 homers in 77 games.

• OF Juan Soto is 4 for 9 with one homer and two RBI versus Alcantara.
• OF Adam Eaton is 4 for 6 with one RBI and three walks against the Marlins’ starter.
• 3B Anthony Rendon is 4 for 8 against Alcantara with one homer and five RBI.

Miami Marlins

In June, Miami’s offense has come alive hitting a season-best .256 with 20 home runs and 67 extra-base hits.

Against right-handed pitchers, the Marlins are hitting .238 with 45 homers in 76 games.

• SS Miguel Rojas is 6 for 19 with one double against Strasburg.
• 2B Starlin Castro is a disappointing 2 for 14 versus the Nats’ starter with seven strikeouts.
• OF Brian Anderson is 1 for 10 versus Strasburg with three strikeouts.

Roster Notes

Washington Nationals

• SP Jeremy Hellickson has been moved to the 60-day IL with right shoulder tendinitis and won’t be eligible to return until late July.
• RP Trevor Rosenthal was released from the club due to poor performance this season.
• 1B Ryan Zimmerman continues to rehab from plantar fasciitis and there is no return date set for the Nats.

Miami Marlins

• SP Caleb Smith is close to returning from a hip issue but remains on the 10-day IL.
• RP Drew Steckenrider has elbow inflammation and on the 60-day IL.
• RP Riley Ferrell has been returned to the Houston Astros via the Rule 5 roster return rule after losing his roster spot.

Game Odds

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Moneyline

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Total Runs

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Run Line

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