NL West Winner Odds 2024: Padres Last Team Standing Against the Dodgers

• The Los Angeles Dodgers odds to win the NL West are down to -700

• The San Diego Padres are two games back from the Dodgers in the NL West division standings

• Arizona currently has just a 0.5 game lead over Atlanta for the last wildcard spot

With five games left to be played in the regular season, the NL West division title race is down to just the Los Angeles Dodgers and San Diego Padres after the Arizona Diamondbacks have been recently statistically eliminated. While two games back from the Dodgers in the division standings, the Padres need to be near perfect while hoping the Dodgers stumble. Not completely unfeasible, yet it’s looking more likely the Dodgers will capture their third straight NL West division title.

MLB NL West Winner Odds

Odds from BetMGM Sportsbook. Use our promo code WSNSPORTS and claim your welcome bonus at BetMGM today: Get Up to $1,500 in Bonus Bets*

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MLB NL West Predictions and Favorites to Win

San Diego Padres (+700) at FanDuel

While the Dodgers hog the most of the spotlight, the San Diego Padres have quietly been just as dominant as they also rank above league average across the board in Team Total Hits, RBIs, Total Runs Scored, On Base Percentage, Team Total Pitching ERA, and Defensive Efficiency. Their consistent high level of play has helped them remain in contention for the NL West division title, sitting two games back for first with five games remaining in the season.

Should the Padres manage to steal the division title at the last second, then they will bolster their chances of making a deep run in October as they would also secure a bye for the first round of the playoffs. Not only would the Padres secure one of the top seeds, it would also force the Dodgers to play in a high variance best of three series. Unfortunately for San Diego, the Dodgers end their season with a series against the Colorado Rockies which will help them maintain their lead for first in the division standings.

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Arizona Diamondbacks N/A

Not only have the Arizona Diamondbacks been statistically eliminated from winning the NL West division title, their hopes of making the playoffs are also in jeopardy as they are only a 0.5 game ahead of the Atlanta Braves in the wildcard standings for the last wildcard spot. To make matters worse for Arizona, they end their season with a series against the Padres which may give Atlanta the chance to leap over them at the last second.

Should Arizona want to ward off the Braves and hold on to their wildcard spot, then their defense must try and elevate their low level of play as they currently rank near dead last in Defensive Efficiency and Team Total Pitching ERA. Their offense can only carry them so far, desperately needing help from their defense in order to avoid playing in high variance contests. Should the Diamondbacks add more arms to their rotation this offseason, look to sprinkle a wager on them as a longshot to win the division next year.

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San Francisco Giants N/A

Other than a productive pitching staff, seemingly nothing else went right for the San Francisco Giants as they end their year ranked well below league average in Team Total Hits, RBIs, Total Runs Scored, On Base Percentage, and Defensive Efficiency. As a result of their low level of play, the Giants have been statistically eliminated from winning the division and making the playoffs.

A shockingly bad performance for a team who was a popular sleeper pick to win the NL West, yet the Giants never managed to threaten for first as they spent a majority of the season in the bottom half of the division standings. With core pieces in their pitching staff to build around, the Giants can spend their offseason adding more productive bats to their lineup in an attempt to make a run at the division title next year.

Colorado Rockies N/A

Seemingly nothing went right for the Colorado Rockies in their 2024 campaign, failing to field any sort of competitive production on both sides of the field. While their offense did manage to creep up to near league average in Team Total Hits and Total Runs Scored, their defense ends the year ranked dead last in Team Total Pitching ERA and Defensive Efficiency.

While that does narrow down their search for production in the offseason, it’s tough to envision the Rockies accelerating their rebuild. Especially when having to play in one of the toughest divisions in the league, forcing them to compete for a wildcard spot just to make the playoffs until they can match the Dodgers and Padres in terms of competitive production.

Who Will Win the NL West in 2024? 

My Pick - Los Angeles Dodgers (-700) at BetMGM

With a two game lead over the Padres and just five games remaining in the regular season, the Dodgers are inching closer to securing their 22nd NL West division title. Even when having to battle through injuries, the Dodgers have been able to maintain their above average marks in Team Total Hits, RBIs, Total Runs Scored, On Base Percentage, Defensive Efficiency, and Team Total Pitching ERA.

Now back at full health, the Dodgers are in a favorable position to make a deep run in October as the current betting favorite to win the World Series. Especially if they can secure one of the two byes in the playoffs, giving their injured players more time to heal up before making their return to the lineup. Should they manage to carry over a majority of their depth into next season, then expect the Dodgers to be the clear cut favorite to win their 23rd NL West division title.

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NL West History 

History looks to potentially repeat itself as the Dodgers are the heavy favorite to win their third NL West division title in a row. That would be five titles in the past six years with only the San Francisco Giants dethroning them back in 2021. 

The San Diego Padres are the last team standing to contend against the Dodgers as of writing, but are a handful of games back while ranked below them across numerous metrics on both sides of the field. Barring a catastrophe, expect the Dodgers to capture their 22nd NL West title and pad their lead for most NL West titles in the division.

Past NL West Winners

How to Read NL West Winner Odds 

When making any type of wager, it’s important to know how to read the listed odds. Especially for a heavy favorite like the Los Angeles Dodgers as the minus sign (-) indicates that you would need to tie in $700 to win $100 at -700 odds. Should you like the San Diego Padres instead at +700, then a $100 wager would profit you $700 should they win the NL West.

How to Choose the Best Sportsbook for Betting on the NL West

Having access to multiple sportsbooks is important in more ways than one. Each book has their own listed odds, giving you the ability to line shop. That is especially vital when wagering on a massive favorite like the Dodgers, getting them anywhere from -700 at BetMGM to -1150 at FanDuel. That is a difference of $450 in a tied up wager while returning the same amount of profit.

Each book also has their own unique sign up bonus, giving new users a huge head start with bonus bets during the MLB regular season. FanDuel Sportsbook for example is giving new users $200 in bonus bets after creating an account and making an initial wager of at least $5.

*Bonus Bets Expire in 7 Days. One New Customer Offer Only. Add’l terms.