MLB MVP Odds 2025: Ohtani Looing for His Fourth MVP in Five Seasons

• Ohtani set new career records in home runs, RBIs, stolen bases, runs, and WAR in 2024

• Soto signed a massive deal with the Mets in the offseason

• Judge led the league in home runs, RBIs, and OPS

Below, we’ll share the latest odds and insights into both 2025 MLB MVP races. We'll also provide our picks to win, giving you everything you need to bet confidently.

MLB MVP Odds

Odds courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook. Head over to FanDuel Sportsbook and place your bets on the 2025 MLB MVP: Bet $5, Get $200 in Bonus Bets if Your Bet Wins.

AL MVP Odds

NL MVP Odds

MLB MVP 2025 Predictions and Favorites to Win

NL - Shohei Ohtani

Ohtani won the NL MVP last season, his first in the league and third in the previous four seasons. He set career records in batting average (.310), home runs (54), RBIs (130), stolen bases (59), runs (134), and WAR (9.2). That helped overcome his inability to pitch and showed just how high his ceiling is.

We do not expect the superstar to replicate his numbers from last season, especially on the basepaths. It was clear the 30-year-old was focusing all his energy on offense, but that won’t be the case in 2025. We expect him to have a tremendous offensive campaign but nothing near the numbers we saw in 2024.

After failing to throw a pitch due to injury last season, Ohtani is expected to join the Dodgers rotation as early as May. He will be a key addition to the talented group, and we expect him to deliver impressive numbers. That is why he is an early favorite to repeat as NL MVP this season.

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AL - Aaron Judge

With Shohei Ohtani departing for the NL, Aaron Judge cruised to his second AL MVP in 2024. The slugger finished the season leading the league in home runs (58), RBIs (144), and OPS (1.159) while posting the third-highest batting average (.322). He looked like he did in his 2022 AL MVP season, suggesting he could keep up these impressive numbers.

Judge will be heading into the season without Juan Soto hitting in front of him. The former Padres star had an incredible season in 2024 but moved over to the Mets during the winter. New York didn’t do much to replace Soto, meaning Judge’s RBI opportunities will be far fewer this season.

The biggest question we have about Judge this season is his ability to hit for average. While we have seen Judge get on unbelievably long hot streaks, he can be streaky. He was more consistent last season, and the results showed he was awful during the playoffs. Can he regain his 2024 regular season form, or is a 2025 drop-off coming?

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NL - Juan Soto

Juan Soto thrived last season with the New York Yankees. He benefited from hitting in front of the AL MVP, posting arguably the best campaign of his impressive career. The strong season earned him a massive contract from the New York Mets, sending him back to the NL for 2025. 

We expect to see a drop-off from Soto with the Mets. New York’s lineup is not as impressive as their crosstown rival. While Francisco Lindor is an MVP-level player, he won’t provide the kind of protection that Judge did last season. That will lead to a drop in batting average and likely home runs.

The Mets’ season may ultimately doom any chance of a Soto MVP. The addition of the right fielders gives the lineup a massive boost, but the rotation remains a concern. We don’t like Sean Manaea's chances of repeating his success from last season, and the team lacks depth behind him. That will lead to many losses, hurting Sotos’ MVP resume.

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AL - Bobby Witt Jr.

Witt has an excellent case to be the 2024 AL MVP but lost out to a historic season from Aaron Judge. The 24-year-old is a five-tool player that has improved each season, making him a perennial MVP candidate. If he can improve again in 2025, he’ll have an excellent chance to win his first MVP.

The most significant advantage Witt has is playing for the Kansas City Royals. We saw the shortstop carry this team to a stunning postseason appearance in 2024, posting a ridiculous WAR of 9.4 in the process. The other AL candidates play for big clubs with loaded rosters, making Witt’s success all the more impressive.

Our biggest question about Witt is whether his impressive .332 batting average can be replicated. Witt was at .276 in 2023 and .254 in 2023, making last year a massive leap forward. While we believe he has the talent to be one of the league’s top hitters, we won’t know until the season gets underway.

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AL - Gunnar Hendserson

The Orioles shortstop is the youngest player on this list at 23 years old. Gunnar Henderson stuck around the AL MVP in 2024 but couldn’t find the consistency needed to compete with Judge and Witt. Can this be the year he figures things out?

Henderson has the benefit of being a part of a great Orioles lineup. The group is expected to be even better this season, with top prospect Jackson Holliday entering his second season. Holliday and Henderson could form a deadly duo in the Baltimore lineup if he can take a step forward.

One area of concern for Henderson is his ability to hit for power. He hit a career-high 37 home runs last season, but 25 came before the end of June. He added just 12 over the final three months of the season and the playoffs.

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MLB AL MVP Winners - My Pick

• Bobby Witt Jr. (+280) at FanDuel Sportsbook

We believe this is going to be Bobby Witt Jr’s year. Aaron Judge was incredible last season, but we don’t think he’ll be able to replicate that in 2025. His case will be further hurt if the Yankees struggle without Soto, giving Witt an opening.

Witt’s 2024 campaign would have earned him an MVP in almost any other season. Considering he is still developing as a player, we expect an even better season in 2025.

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MLB NL MVP Winners - My Pick

• Shohei Ohtani (+145) at FanDuel Sportsbook

With the possible exception of Ronald Acuna Jr, the only two players capable of matching Ohtani’s production are in the AL (Judge and Witt). While his offense numbers dip, he’ll make up for it with his return to the mound. As long as the dual-threat can stay healthy, no one in the NL has a chance.

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MLB AL & NL MVP History 

The modern MVP award dates all the way back to 1931 when the Baseball Writers’ Association of America voted to name Lefty Grove (AL) and Frankie Frisch (NL) as the winners. Before that, some version of an MVP award had existed since Ty Cobb won it in 1911.

Below is a list of some of the recent MVP winners from both leagues.

Previous AL MVP Winners

Previous NL MVP Winners

How to Read MLB AL & NL MVP Odds 

MVP futures odds work the same as any other bet. Each bet includes a number next to the team or player, preceded by a plus or minus sign. 

A plus sign in front of the number usually indicates an underdog, which is also common with futures bets. If the odds next to a team or player have a plus sign, that is the amount that you will win for every $100 you bet.

A minus sign usually indicates the favorite to win, though they are rarely seen for future bets. A minus sign in front of the odds means that is how much you need to bet to win $100.

For example, let's say you bet $100 on Pete Alonso +1500 to win the NL MVP. If he wins the award, you will win $1500. 

How to Choose the Best Sportsbook for Betting on the MVP

Now that you have some insights into both MVP races, it is time to find a sportsbook to place your bet. You can check out our full sportsbook reviews on our sportsbooks page, but below are some quick comparisons to help you decide.

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