Garrett Crochet is currently the betting favorite to win the AL Cy Young award
Tarik Skubal did not give up a run in his last outing against the New York Yankees
The Boston Red Sox defense ranks dead last in Defensive Efficiency
The MLB has transformed into a pitchers league over the past couple of years as there are seemingly more elite pitchers than ever before who are capable of shutting down opposing offenses on a nightly basis. This movement has turned the race for the Cy Young awards into one of the more exciting spectacles in the sport as one successful or detrimental performance can make or break someone's chances of winning the award.
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Player | Odds |
---|---|
Garrett Crochet | +300 BET HERE |
Tarik Skubal | +350 BET HERE |
Logan Gilbert | +600 BET HERE |
Cole Ragans | +700 BET HERE |
Jacob deGrom | +1600 BET HERE |
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Player | Odds |
---|---|
Paul Skenes | +175 BET HERE |
Zack Wheeler | +500 BET HERE |
Spencer Schwellenbach | +550 BET HERE |
Hunter Greene | +650 BET HERE |
Yoshinobu Yamamoto | +1400 BET HERE |
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Even though Garrett Crochet has only given up three Earned Runs since the start of the season, negative regression looms large as he continues to put at least one runner on base per Inning Pitched. That leaves him one hit away from wiping away his clean sheet and plummeting his ERA in the process. Especially when he is surrounded by the worst back end in the league as the Red Sox defense currently ranks dead last in Defensive Efficiency.
As for the current betting favorite in the NL, Paul Skenes has been a bit unfortunate as of late as his back end continues to tarnish his outings. Even though the star pitcher possesses a WHIP of just 0.818 and a FIP of 1.30, opposing offenses have been able to maximize on their minimal scoring opportunities as his ERA of 3.44 indicates. With oddsmakers still listing Skenes as the favorite, it may be time to start taking fliers on long shots before the odds drastically change.
After a rough start to the year, Tarik Skubal has seemingly rounded back into form by stringing together a dominant performance against the high powered New York Yankees offense. In his last outing, Skubal only conceded four Hits Against and zero Earned Runs Allowed which brings his ERA down to a 3.78 and WHIP to a 1.200. With negative regression looming large over Crochet, the Tigers pitcher is in a great position to reclaim the top spot on the oddsboard.
The Cy Young award market is one of the more volatile betting markets in the sport as one successful or poor outing can drastically shake up the oddsboard. In order to be successful and make a profit betting on the award, you need to build a diverse portfolio and place wagers on pitchers who are in a position to strengthen their claim for the award before doing so.
Whether that is throwing some darts on some long shots before the season starts and hedging out them when a favorite gets off to a hot start, or vice versa, you will need to consistently keep an eye on the market to take advantage of the best possible odds. In Tarik Skubal’s case, place a wager on him now and look to create multiple outs as the season progresses.
When placing any sort of wager, it’s important to understand how the listed odds work. If you bet on Tarik Skubal to win the Cy Young award at his preseason odds of +450, then a $100 wager would profit you $100 if he wins the award.
If you wait to see if he gets off to a hot start and is listed with a minus sign in front of his odds (-125 for example), then you would need to wager $125 to win $100. Placing wagers at the best available odds will help you churn a profit over the long run, making it vital you consistently check the market for potential hedge opportunities.
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After winning the 2024 AL Cy Young award, Tarik Skubal has the opportunity to be the first pitcher to win the title in two straight years since Jacob deGrom did it back in 2018-2019. If Skubal does win the pitching title this season, then the Tigers' ace would be just the 23rd player in the history of the MLB to win more than one Cy Young award.
Unfortunately for Skubal, he will still have some catching up to do if he wants to lead the league for the most Cy Young award,s as Roger Clemens currently leads all pitchers with seven total titles. Clemens was as consistent as it gets as he never won the award more than twice in a row while racking up the titles from 1986 until his last one in 2004.
Player | Year |
---|---|
Tarik Skubal | 2024 |
Gerrit Cole | 2023 |
Justin Verlander | 2022 |
Robbie Ray | 2021 |
Shane Bieber | 2020 |
Justin Verlander | 2019 |
Blake Snell | 2018 |
Corey Kluber | 2017 |
Rick Porcello | 2016 |
Dallas Keuchel | 2015 |
Player | Year |
---|---|
Chris Sale | 2024 |
Blake Snell | 2023 |
Sandy Alcantara | 2022 |
Corbin Burnes | 2021 |
Trevor Bauer | 2020 |
Jacob deGrom | 2019 |
Jacob deGrom | 2018 |
Max Scherzer | 2017 |
Max Scherzer | 2016 |
Jake Arrieta | 2015 |
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