MLB Home Run Leader Odds 2025: Aaron Judge the Early Leader Yet Again

• Aaron Judge has taken an early lead in the 2025 home run race by hitting six home runs in his first 10 games.

• Logan O’Hoppe opened the month of April with a home run in four consecutive games, giving him five home runs in the first seven games he’s played in 2025.

• Tyler Soderstrom of the A’s already has two multiple-home-run games, helping him match Judge with six homers early in the season.

Every year, one of the most fascinating individual races in baseball is the competition to lead the majors in home runs. Typically, some of the biggest stars in baseball are involved in this race, although younger and unexpected players sometimes crash the party, which keeps things interesting. All season, we’ll be tracking what sluggers have the best odds to lead the majors in home runs in 2025 and sharing our pick for the best bet at that point in the season.

MLB Home Run Leader Odds

The odds we’re using for tracking the MLB home run leader are from FanDuel Sportsbook. If you’re new to FanDuel, you can sign up for an account and claim: Bet $5, Get $250 in Bonus Bets if Your Bet Wins.

Bet $5 at FanDuel, Get $250 in Bonus Bets if Your Bet Wins

MLB Home Run Leader Predictions 

One of the least surprising parts of the MLB season thus far is that Aaron Judge is off to a fast start. He’s smashed six homers in his first 10 games of the season. Even for Judge, that’s a tough pace to keep up all year. Nevertheless, he’s taken a commanding lead in the race to be the home run leader for the third time in four seasons. His injury history is always a concern, but he still has an early lead over most of the usual suspects who are likely to be a threat to his status as the home run king, most notably Shohei Ohtani and Pete Alonso.

Outside of the likes of Judge, Ohtani, and Alonso, there are a few names to watch who aren’t yet receiving serious consideration from oddsmakers at the moment. Tyler Soderstrom of the A’s has collected six home runs in his first 11 games. Kyle Tucker, Eugenio Suarez, and last year’s NLCS MVP Tommuy Edman are also among the players with at least a handful of home runs early in the season. At this point, the award is still Judge’s to lose. But there could be some new faces in this year’s home run race to challenge perennial favorites like Judge and Ohtani. At this point, it’s still too early to tell who is best positioned to overtake Judge.

MLB Home Leader Pick - Kyle Tucker (+2500) at FanDuel

Judge is the easy pick, although Tucker has a ton of value right now and could ride a wave of momentum after a hot start. Despite never hitting more than 30 home runs in a season, Tucker is entering his prime and about to hit free agency, so he’s a good candidate to come out of nowhere to be the home run king, similar to what Matt Olson did two years ago.

Win a $5 Wager at FanDuel, Get $250 in Bonus Bets

How to Bet on the MLB Home Run Leader

Betting on the MLB home run leader can be a little tricky. It’s far more complicated than merely betting on the current leader in home runs, especially early in the season. Many players are capable of getting hot at some point in the season and hitting a lot of home runs in a short period. But being the home run leader is about maintaining consistency over the full season. Power hitters who can do that are the ones who end up being the home run leader at the end of the season.

Obviously, a player’s current home run total is an important consideration. But it’s also relevant to look at their track record. What’s the highest home run total of their career? Is their home run total steadily increasing year by year? Likewise, is that player at an age at which their home run total is likely to improve? The health of a player is also of great importance. It’s hard to lead the majors in home runs if you miss significant time with an injury. Therefore, a player with a history of injuries may not be the best candidate to be the home run king.

How To Read Home Run Leader Odds

With multiple candidates to be the home run king, most players will have plus (+) betting odds. Therefore, the profit will be greater than the wager. For instance, a $100 bet on +500 odds will have a profit of $500. Of course, if there is a clear favorite, they may have negative (-) odds. This means that for a player with -150 odds, you will have to bet $150 in order to make a profit of $100.

Where to Bet on the MLB Home Run Leader

FanDuel Sportsbook is among the best platforms for betting on the MLB home run leader or making any other baseball bets. In fact, FanDuel is the official betting partner of MLB, so they have the league well-covered in terms of available betting options. This includes the home run leader, which is a popular betting market.

If you don’t already have a FanDuel account, you can sign up for one and receive the welcome offer: Bet $5, Get $250 in Bonus Bets if Your Bet Wins. There is no promo code required for this offer. All you have to do is pick a safe bet for your first wager to make sure you collect your bonus bets.

MLB Home Run Leader History

As mentioned, there is always a lot of attention on who the MLB home run leader is during the season. This is usually because some of the biggest stars in the game earn that distinction. In recent years, Aaron Judge has been the one to beat. However, there are plenty of examples of a player who didn’t receive much consideration before the season becoming the home run leader, including Luke Voit in the shortened 2020 season or Matt Olson in 2023.

Thus, you never know what’s going to happen in the MLB home run race from one year to the next. For proof of that, look no further than a list of the 10 most recent winners.