Cincinnati Reds vs Philadelphia Phillies: Predictions, Odds and Roster Notes

Where: Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia, PA

When: Saturday, June 8th at 4:05 PM EST

How (TV/Radio): Reds TV/Radio: Root Sports, KOA 850 AM. Phillies TV/Radio: Comcast SportsNet, WIP 94.1 FM.

Team Notes

Cincinnati Reds

The Reds have been one of the unluckiest teams in baseball with a run-differential of plus-39 but their record stands at 28-32.

Cincinnati isn’t dead in the playoff race with a small 7.2% chance to make the postseason and a 0.6% probability to take the World Series crown according to Baseball Reference.

The Reds are 65-1 to win the NL title and 150-1 to win the 2019 World Series.

Philadelphia Phillies

The Phillies continue to dominate the NL East with a record of 34-27 but an ACL injury to OF Andrew McCutchen could derail their solid season.

Philadelphia has a 31.3% probability to make the playoffs and a 0.6% chance to take the World Series crown according to Baseball Reference.

The Phillies currently have 6-1 odds to win the National League and sit at 11-1 to take the World Series.

Pitcher Notes

Cincinnati Reds: Sonny Gray (2-5, 3.54 ERA)

Gray has been terrific for the Reds this season with a low ERA and 68 strikeouts in 61 innings.

In his last start, the right-hander threw five quality innings, allowing just two earned runs to the Nationals.

• Gray has kept the ball in the park, allowing just four homers this season.
• The Reds’ starter three quality starts on the year.
• Gray has only allowed more than three runs once this season.

Phillies: Nick Pivetta (3-1, 6.14 ERA)

After being sent down at the end of April, Pivetta has made two strong starts since being recalled.

In his last outing, Pivetta allowed no runs over six innings to the Dodgers while striking out nine hitters.

• Pivetta has struck out 15 batters in his 11 innings since his return from AAA.
• The righty has allowed just eight baserunners in those 11 innings.
• The Phillies starter did allow two homers in his first start but held the Dodgers scoreless in his second outing.

Hitter Notes

Cincinnati Reds

The Reds have one of the worst offenses in baseball on the road, averaging just 4 runs per contest.

Cincinnati ranks 20th overall in scoring, posting 4.42 runs per game on the board.

• 1B Joey Votto is 2 for 5 off Pivetta, with one RBI and one walk.
• 2B Jose Peraza is 3 for 5 versus Pivetta with two doubles and one strikeout.
• UTIL Derek Dietrich is 3 for 13 with one homer and two RBI off the Philadelphia right-hander.

Philadelphia Phillies

The Phillies offense has been very good at home, ranking 5th in MLB with a 5.32 runs per game average.

Overall, the Phillies are scoring 4.89 runs per contest, good for 14th in baseball.

• SS Jean Segura is 0 for 4 against Gray in his career with two strikeouts.
• OF Bryce Harper is 0 for 7 versus the Reds’ starter with four strikeouts.
• Newly acquired OF Jay Bruce is 0 for 3 against Gray in his career.

Roster Notes

Cincinnati Reds

• 2B Scooter Gennett is 2-3 weeks away from starting a rehab assignment on his strained groin.
• RP Robert Stephenson has a cervical strain and is on the 10-day IL.
• SP Alex Woods continues to deal with back pain and does not have a return date from the 10-day IL.

Philadelphia Phillies

• SP Zach Elfin has back tightness and is on the 10-day IL.
• OF Andrew McCutchen tore his ACL and will not return for the remainder of 2019.
• RP Pat Neshek remains on the 10-day IL with a shoulder strain.

Game Odds Cincinnati Reds vs Philadelphia Phillies

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Moneyline

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Total Runs

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Run Line

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