Best YRFI Bets Today: Target This NL East Divisional Matchup

With the New York Mets offense firing on all cylinders, we target the divisional matchup between the Mets and Philadelphia Phillies as they possess enough offensive production to rattle the Phillies Aaron Nola. After that takes place, we turn our attention towards the contest between the Houston Astros and Los Angeles Angels as the Angels will receive an uptick in offensive production against Yusei Kikuchi.

For more information about the YRFI market and what factors make them worth a wager, take a look at our breakdown of what are YRFI bets.

As for where to wager on YRFIs, FanDuel Sportsbook has been the front runner for the market as they consistently put out lines before everyone else and at very favorable odds. If you have not signed up yet with FanDuel Sportsbook and are looking to get in on the action, you can claim $200 in bonus bets after creating an account and making an initial wager of at least $5.

New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies - Jose Quintana vs. Aaron Nola (6:40 PM, EST)

Over 0.5 Run (-110) at FanDuel

After a hot stretch of play, the New York Mets are now in the playoff picture as they have jumped over the Atlanta Braves in the wildcard standings and are in possession of the last wildcard spot in the NL. They now control their own destiny with less than 20 games remaining in the regular season, yet their path to securing a playoff berth is tough as they enter a three game series against the NL East leading Philadelphia Phillies.

Should the Mets want to further strengthen their position for the playoffs, then their offense must continue to play at a high rate as they face off against the Phillies Aaron Nola. While Nola has minimized the number of opposing runners on base as his WHIP of 1.181 indicates, his individual level of play has steadily declined as he now possesses a FIP of 4.01. That indicates negative regression is looming, especially as his back end continues to struggle as the Phillies rank 19th in Defensive Efficiency.

With Nola steadily regressing, as well as being supported by a struggling back end, the Mets offense will be in a position to continue to succeed as they rank well above league average in Team Total Hits, RBIs, Total Runs Scored, and On Base Percentage. Especially when having to start the contest throwing against surging NL MVP contender Francisco Lindor as he possesses an elite blend of power and contact ability.

On the other side of the field, it should be business as usual for the Phillies elite offense as they come into the contest ranked equally as great as the Mets and get the benefit of swinging against Jose Quintana. Quintana has struggled with limiting opposing offensive production in his 2024 campaign, taking the mound with an ERA of 4.09, a WHIP of 1.309, and a FIP of 4.89.

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Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels - Yusei Kikuchi vs. Samuel Aldegheri (9:38 PM, EST)

Over 0.5 Run (-108) at FanDuel

After starting the year looking like their season was over before it really began, the Houston Astros have managed to climb from the bottom of the AL West division standings to the top while possessing a four game lead for first with two weeks left of play. The Astros are also still in contention for securing one of the two byes in the playoffs, but they will need to string together a hot stretch of play as they are currently six games back from the New York Yankees in the overall standings.

While a matchup against the Angels Samuel Aldegheri looks daunting at first as he has an ERA of 2.45, Aldegheri is actually flirting with negative regression as his WHIP of 1.273 and FIP of 4.45 does not correlate with his success. Now having to face off against one of the best top of the orders in the league, expect Houston to bring Aldegheri back down to reality as they rank near the top of the board in Team Total Hits, RBIs, Total Runs Scored, and On Base Percentage.

As for the Angels, their offensive production has been on a decline since the injury to former MVP Mike Trout, entering the contest ranked below league average in the same previously mentioned offensive metrics. In a matchup against the Astros Yusei Kikuchi, expect an uptick in offensive production from the Angels as he has struggled with avoiding contact by averaging nearly one Hit Against per Inning Pitched and a WHIP of 1.245.

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