Best YRFI Bets Today: Fade Ryne Nelson Against the Red Sox

With their wildcard hopes hanging by a thread, the Boston Red Sox get the opportunity to climb up the standings by flexing their offensive production against the Arizona Diamondbacks and their horrid defense. After that takes place, we turn our attention towards the matchup between the New York Mets and San Diego Padres as both top of their orders get the benefit of swinging against a pair of struggling arms.

For more information about the YRFI market and what factors make them worth a wager, take a look at our YRFI bets guide.

As for where to wager on YRFIs, FanDuel Sportsbook has been the top choice for the market as they routinely put out lines before everyone else and at very favorable odds. If you have not signed up yet with FanDuel sportsbook and are looking to wager on Friday’s slate of YRFIs, you can claim $200 in bonus bets by simply creating an account and making an initial bet of at least $5 wagered.

Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Boston Red Sox - Ryne Nelson vs. Brayan Bello (7:10 PM, EST)

Over 0.5 Run (-120) at FanDuel

With the New York Yankees and Baltimore Orioles having a sizable lead over the Red Sox in the AL East division standings, Boston’s best course of making the playoffs resides on them grabbing a wildcard spot. Unfortunately for them, they are also comfortably behind the Minnesota Twins and Kansas City Royals as both clubs currently have a four game lead over the Red Sox in the wildcard standings.

Should the Red Sox want to close the gap on the Twins and Royals in the wildcard standings, then their offense will need to continue to play at a high level in order to mask their defense that ranks 23rd overall in Defensive Efficiency. That has been a common theme for the Red Sox all season long, relying solely on the play of their offense as they rank above league average in Team Total Hits, RBIs, Total Runs Scored, and On Base Percentage.

Luckily for Boston, their offense will have a great opportunity to open up the scoring early in their contest as they are set to face off against the Diamondbacks Ryne Nelson. Nelson has been a popular fade target for our YRFI series as he continues to struggle with putting opposing runners in scoring position, taking the mound with an ERA of 4.35 and WHIP of 1.290. Better yet, the Diamondbacks' defense has also underwhelmed as they currently rank 25th in Defensive Efficiency.

On the other side of the field, the Diamondbacks' offense have been equally as productive as the Red Sox as they also rank above league average in the same previously mentioned offensive metrics. With Brayan Bello set to take the mound, Arizona will be given an opportunity to succeed from the opening pitch as Bello has struggled with limiting opposing offensive production. In 23 games played, Bello enters the contest with an ERA of 4.80, a WHIP of 1.407, 127 Hits Against, and 66 Earned Runs Allowed.

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New York Mets vs. San Diego Padres - Paul Blackburn vs. Joe Musgrove (9:40 PM, EST)

Over 0.5 Run (+104) at FanDuel

Like the Red Sox, the New York Mets also find themselves on the outside looking in for the playoffs as they are currently eight games behind the Philadelphia Phillies in the NL East division standings and two games behind the Atlanta Braves for the last wildcard spot. As for the Padres, they have a comfortable lead for one of the three wildcard spots and are just four games back from the Los Angeles Dodgers in the NL West standings.

Entering Friday’s contest, betting markets currently side with the Padres as they are set to face off against the Mets Paul Blackburn. Blackburn’s individual level of play on the mound has been underwhelming to say the least, entering the contest with a FIP of 4.34. While his FIP has improved since getting traded to New York, he has flirted with disaster as his WHIP creeps up to 1.273.

As for the Mets offense, they are set to face off against the Padres Joe Musgrove who has struggled with keeping opposing runners off the bases. In 12 appearances so far this season, Musgrove has generated a lowly ERA of 4.97, a WHIP of 1.397, and FIP of 5.04. Not only do the Mets get the favor of swinging against a pitcher who has struggled on the mound, but they also face off against a defense that ranks near dead last in Defensive Efficiency.

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