While Clayton Kershaw continues to struggle in his efforts of rounding back into Cy Young winning form, we continue to fade him as he is set to face off against the productive Milwaukee Brewers offense. While that takes place, we also target the matchup between the Minnesota Twins and Kansas City Royals as both offenses are in a position to open up the scoring early against two regressing pitchers.
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Since making his return from injury, Kershaw continues to look like a shell of his former self while opposing offenses have had no issue with making contact and getting on base at an alarming rate. While rust was expected after his lengthy absence, his struggles have now been consistent for three straight games as Kershaw enters the contest with an ERA of 4.38, a stunningly high WHIP of 1.622, and a FIP of 3.42.
To make matters worse for Kershaw, the Brewers offense will do him no favors in his efforts of rounding back into form as they have ranked near the top of the board all season long in Team Total Hits, RBIs, Total Runs Scored, and On Base Percentage. Their consistent source of offensive production has played a major role in their success so far this season as the Brewers currently have a seven game lead for first in the NL Central division standings.
As for the Dodgers, they match the Brewers in terms of offensive production as they also rank near the top of the board in the same previously mentioned metrics. Even amidst injuries to key players like Mookie Betts, the Dodgers boast more than enough depth to remain a competitive threat to any opposing pitcher. Especially with the return of former Hits leader Freddie Freeman after he had to miss some time with a family emergency.
With Freeman’s elite contact ability and Shohei Ohtani’s power at the top of their batting order, the Dodgers remain to be an instant scoring threat early in their contests. Especially when they are set to battle it out against Freddy Peralta who has struggled with limiting the number of opposing scoring opportunities. Entering Monday’s contest, Peralta takes the mound with an ERA of 4.02, a WHIP of 1.221, and 56 Earned Runs Allowed.
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At the same time as our previously mentioned YRFI, we also focus on the matchup between two AL Central foes when the Kansas City Royals battle it out against the Minnesota Twins. While both clubs currently hold a firm lead for two of the three wildcard spots, both units are also still in contention for the division title as they are only a handful of games back from first.
The Royals are presented with a great opportunity to chip away at the Guardians lead for first as they are set to face off against the Twins Pablo Lopez. Lopez has struggled mightily in his 2024 campaign as opposing offenses continue to make contact at a high rate and capitalize on their scoring opportunities against him, taking the mound with an ERA of 4.74, 120 Hits Against, and 68 Earned Runs Allowed.
On the other side of the field, the Twins offense is set to face off against the Royals Brady Singer. While his ERA of 3.03 seems daunting to fade against, his WHIP of 1.194 indicates negative regression is looming as runners continue to be stranded. Expect regression to swing against him as the Twins offense enters the contest ranked above league average in Team Total Hits, RBIs, Total Runs Scored, and On Base Percentage.
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