Best YRFI Bets Today: Fade Zack Wheeler Against the Diamondbacks

Normally a pitcher to back for our daily NRFI series, we fade Zack Wheeler in Friday’s slate of YRFIs as he is set to face off against one of the best offenses in the league. Shortly before that takes place, we turn our attention towards the matchup between the Cincinnati Reds and Milwaukee Brewers as the Reds offense gets the opportunity to elevate their level of play against Aaron Civale.

For more information about the YRFI market and what factors make them worth a wager, take a look at our breakdown of what are YRFI bets.

As for where to wager on YRFIs, FanDuel Sportsbook has been the front runner for the market as they consistently put out lines before everyone else and at very favorable odds when compared to the rest of the mobile sportsbooks.

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Philadelphia Phillies vs. Arizona Diamondbacks - Zack Wheeler vs. Ryne Nelson (9:40 PM, EST)

Over 0.5 Run (-108) at FanDuel

While Chris Sale steadily grows his lead as the betting favorite to win the AL Cy Young award, Zack Wheeler’s chances of closing the gap continues to shrink. With only a handful of appearances left, Wheeler desperately needs to string together a couple of dominant performances. Especially with Sale outranking him in ERA, FIP, Total Strikeouts, and Earned Runs Allowed.

The issue for Wheeler this time around is that he is set to face off against one of the best offenses in the league as the Diamondbacks enter the contest ranked near the top of the board in Team Total Hits, RBIs, Total Runs Scored, and On Base Percentage. Reminder, this was a Cy Young contender who struggled with a WHIP of over 1.000 earlier in the year as his Walk Rate steadily increased. Expect the Diamondbacks to neutralize Wheeler’s elite production.

Speaking of offense, the Phillies offensive production has been equally as impressive as the Diamondbacks as they also rank near the top of the board in the same previously mentioned offensive metrics. They possess one of the best top of the orders in the league, fielding the likes of slugger Kyle Schwarber, former two time Hits leader Trea Turner, and all around talent Bryce Harper.

The Phillies top of the order will be presented with another great opportunity to succeed as they are set to face off against the Diamondbacks Ryne Nelson. Nelson has struggled with limiting the number of opposing scoring opportunities, taking the mound with an ERA of 4.65, a WHIP of 1.369, 123 Hits Against, and 57 Earned Runs Allowed. To make matters worse, Nelson gets limited support from his back end as the Diamondbacks rank below league average in Defensive Efficiency.

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Cincinnati Reds vs. Milwaukee Brewers - Carson Spiers vs. Aaron Civale (8:10 PM, EST)

Over 0.5 Run (-108) at BetRivers

Once listed as high as +1000 to win the NL Central division title, the Milwaukee Brewers have made quick work in their efforts of grabbing the top spot of the division standings and have yet to relinquish their lead. As for the Reds, they entered the year as a popular sleeper pick to win the division but have quickly fallen down the standings due to their lack of offensive production.

Fortunately for the Reds, their offense will be given an opportunity to play at a competitive rate as they get the benefit of swinging against the Brewers Aaron Civale. Civale has struggled with keeping runners off the bases, entering the contest with an ERA of 5.14, WHIP of 1.411, 121 Hits Against, and 64 Earned Runs Allowed. That bodes well for the Reds offense as they currently rank well below league average in Team Total Hits, RBIs, Total Runs Scored, and On Base Percentage.

As for the Brewers, their offense has quietly played as one of the best units in the league as they have ranked near the top of the board all season long in the same previously mentioned offensive metrics. Every bit of their offensive production will be called upon in this matchup as the Reds Carson Spiers has had a productive 2024 campaign. In his minimal appearances so far this season, Spiers takes the mound with a FIP of 3.69 and WHIP of 1.162.

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