Best YRFI Bets Today: Expect Early Runs in the Afternoon Slate

We kick off our Thursday focusing on the matchup between the Milwaukee Brewers and Atlanta Braves as both offenses are in a position to open up the scoring early against two struggling pitchers. We then shift our attention towards the Los Angeles Angels and New York Yankees as the Yankees look to grow their lead at the top of the AL East standings off the bats of their elite top of their order.

For more information about the YRFI market and what factors make them worth a wager, take a look at our breakdown of what are YRFI bets.

As for where to wager on YRFIs, FanDuel Sportsbook has been the top choice for the market as they routinely put out lines before everyone else and at very favorable odds when compared to the rest of the mobile sportsbooks.

If you have not signed up yet with FanDuel sportsbook and are looking to wager on Thursday’s slate of YRFIs, you can claim $150 in bonus bets by simply creating an account and winning your first bet of at least $5 wagered. Be sure to wager the $5 on a heavy favorite immediately after signing up, maximizing your chances of winning and collecting the $150 in bonus bets.

Milwaukee Brewers vs. Atlanta Braves - Frankie Montas vs. Charlie Morton (12:20 PM, EST)

Over 0.5 Run (-120) at FanDuel

While the Brewers chances of making the playoffs look great with a six game lead at the top of the NL Central division standings, the Braves are in the midst of a four team race for the three highly coveted wildcard spots. A NL East division title is most likely out of their reach with the Philadelphia Phillies looking far better than the field, most likely needing to secure a wildcard spot in order to keep their playoff hopes alive.

Should the Braves want to play in October, then their offense will need to turn around their low level of play as they continue to underwhelm by ranking well below league average in Team Total Hits, RBIs, Total Runs Scored, and On Base Percentage. Once pegged as a World Series contender entering the year, the Braves have a realistic chance of missing out on the playoffs entirely.

Fortunately for Atlanta, their offense is given a beautiful opportunity to build some late season momentum as they are set to face off against the Brewers Frankie Montas who has continued to struggle in his 2024 campaign. Entering Thursday’s contest against the Braves, Montas takes the mound with a ERA of 5.03, a WHIP of 1.454, a FIP of 4.87, 41 Batters Walked, 102 Hits Against, and 55 Earned Runs Allowed in 20 total games played.

On the other side of the field, the Braves roll out Charlie Morton who has also struggled with keeping opposing runners off the bases. With a WHIP of 1.250 and a FIP of 4.35, expect the Brewers offense to continue to succeed as they rank near the top of the board in the same previously mentioned offensive metrics. Especially with the Braves defense continuing to regress, a unit that now ranks 22nd in Defensive Efficiency.

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Los Angeles Angels vs. New York Yankees - Tyler Anderson vs. Nestor Cortes (7:05 PM, EST)

Over 0.5 Run (-125) at FanDuel

After conceding their lead for first in the AL East division standings, the Yankees have reclaimed the top spot over the Baltimore Orioles. Finishing out the year as the division winner is crucial for boosting their chances of winning the World Series as the AL East winner would most likely grab one of the two byes while the team who finishes in second has to play in the wildcard round.

In order to increase their lead in the AL East, the Yankees offense will need to continue to play at a high level. While Anderson looks fearsome in terms of ERA, negative regression looms large as his FIP of 4.41 shows that his low level of play continues to get masked by their productive defense. Expect regression to hit him hard, especially with Juan Soto and MVP betting favorite Aaron Judge kicking things off.

As for the Angels, making contact has been a major issue for their offense as they currently rank 27th in Team Total Hits. Entering Thursday’s contest, their offense will be given an opportunity to make contact at a higher rate and get into scoring position early as they are set to face off against Nestor Cortes. Cortes has struggled with avoiding contact due to his aggressive nature, taking the mound with a FIP of 4.03 and 127 Hits Against.

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