Best YRFI Bets Today: Patrick Corbin to Struggle Against the Surging Mets

Wednesday’s slate of YRFIs kicks off with a NL East divisional showdown between the Washington Nationals and New York Mets as we get the opportunity to fade Patrick Corbin against a surging Mets offense. At the same time as that matchup, we also focus on the battle between the Cincinnati Reds and Colorado Rockies as both offenses are in a position to continue to succeed against a pair of underwhelming pitchers.

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Washington Nationals vs. New York Mets - Patrick Corbin vs. Luis Severino (7:10 PM, EST)

Over 0.5 Run (-125) at FanDuel

Our favorite fade target in Patrick Corbin makes his return to our daily YRFI series as he is set to take the mound against a red hot Mets offense that ranks well above league average in Team Total Hits, RBIs, Total Runs Scored, and On Base Percentage. Once looking like their season was over after a rough start to the year, the Mets have managed to find life and are now within contention of a wildcard spot after a hot stretch of play.

Crazier yet, the Nationals are right behind them as they are currently two games back from the Mets in the NL East standings. While the Nationals continue to be one of the more pleasant surprise success stories in the league by nearly ranking 0.500 past the midway point of the season, it’s safe to say Corbin has yet to play his part in their success as he continues to perform as one of the worst starting pitchers in the league.

Entering Wednesday’s matchup against the Mets, Corbin takes the mound with an ERA of 5.49, a WHIP of 1.530, a FIP of 4.74, just 68 Total Strikeouts, 35 Batters Walked, an astonishing 118 Hits Allowed, and 61 Earned Runs Against in 18 games played. To make matters worse, Corbin gets little help from his backend as their defense as a whole ranks near dead last in Defensive Efficiency.

While the Mets offense has managed to round back into competitive form, their defense has yet to get the memo as they continue to struggle with their lack of pitching production. Luis Severino has been no exception, entering the contest with a WHIP of 1.200 and a FIP of 4.35. His inability to avoid opposing contact with 90 Total Hits Allowed bodes well for an anemic Nationals offense, giving them the chance to match the Mets offensive production and get into scoring position early and often.

Bet on Over 0.5 Run (-125) at FanDuel

Colorado Rockies vs. Cincinnati Reds - Kyle Freeland vs. Frankie Montas (7:10 PM, EST)

Over 0.5 Run (-124) at BetRivers

Speaking of teams currently in contention for a wildcard spot, the Cincinnati Reds have managed to stay within reach after a sluggish start to their season. A disappointing start for a team that was projected to compete for the NL Central division title, yet the Reds are currently in fourth place and 10 games back from the current leader Milwaukee Brewers.

Luckily for Cincinnati, Colorado’s Kyle Freeland presents them an opportunity to build some midseason momentum and make a push for a playoff berth as he takes the mound with a ERA of 6.62, a WHIP of 1.670, 47 Hits Allowed, and 26 Earned Runs Against in 7 appearances so far this season.

As for the Rockies, their offense has remained sneakily competitive as they rank above league average in Team Total Hits. The issue for the Rockies is that their Hits are far and few inbetween as they dip to below league average in RBI’s, Runs Scored, and On Base Percentage. With the Reds Frankie Montas struggling to keep opposing runners out of scoring position with a WHIP of 1.319, expect positive regression to swing towards the Rockies way with an uptick in Runs Scored.

Bet on Over 0.5 Run (-124) at BetRivers

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