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After going through a cold stretch that featured a lack of offensive production, the New York Yankees are poised to bounce back against the struggling Cincinnati Reds. After that contest takes place, we turn our sights towards the matchup between the San Diego Padres and Texas Rangers as the reigning World Series champs get the opportunity to round back into form against an underwhelming arm on the mound.
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After pacing the rest of the AL East for a majority of the season, the New York Yankees are now in unfamiliar territory and are behind the Baltimore Orioles in the division standings. While their recent cold stretch of play plagued their offense, their top of the order remained productive off of the bats of two of the best players in the league with Aaron Judge and Juan Soto at the top of the AL MVP market.
Since Juan Soto’s arrival, the Yankees as a whole have been one of the best offenses in the league by ranking near the top of the board in Team Total Hits, RBIs, Total Runs Scored, and On Base Percentage. Soto’s elite ability to extend plate appearances and get on base by either making contact or getting walked applies serious pressure to opposing pitchers, especially with Aaron Judge following after who leads the league in Home Runs.
The star studded duo should not skip a beat with their production against the Reds Andrew Abbott as he is flirting with negative regression. When his top ranked defense is not bailing him out, Abbott’s FIP of 4.98 indicates that he is struggling to limit opposing runners off the bases with his high Walk Rate and inability to punch out. With Soto’s ability to get on base at a high rate on Walks alone, expect the Yankees to get into scoring position early and often.
As for the Reds, their offense has been on the opposite side of the board in the same previously mentioned offensive metrics. A shockingly bad start for a bright young core that was poised to take the next step in their production, yet now get the opportunity to build some momentum against the Yankees Carlos Rodon. Rodon takes the mound with an ERA of 4.42, a WHIP of 1.260, and 92 Hits Allowed.
Bet on Over 0.5 Run (-115) at FanDuel
After shocking the nation and winning the World Series last year, the Rangers are now staring down a reality where they miss the playoffs this season. They are currently out of contention for a wildcard berth and are comfortably behind the Seattle Mariners in the AL West standings. Luckily for them, there is plenty of season left to be played in order for them to build some momentum and make a second half push.
Should they want to salvage their season as the reigning champions, then their offense will need to swiftly round back into form as they currently rank well below league average in Team Total Hits, RBIs, Total Runs Scored, and On Base Percentage. They will be presented an opportunity to do just that as the Padres Adam Mazur has severely underwhelmed in his minimal appearances by possessing an ERA of 7.25 and WHIP of 1.836.
Even with Tatis out with an injury, current Total Hits leader Luis Arraez keeps the Padres offense competitive enough worthy of a YRFI as he gets on base and in scoring position at a high rate. With the Rangers Jon Gray struggling to keep opposing runners off the bases with a WHIP of 1.284, expect the Padres to push aside negative regression and remain productive enough to start the scoring early.
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