Best YRFI Bets Today: Continue to Fade Hunter Brown

Monday’s slate may only feature three games, but two of them still fit the parameters for a YRFI as a pair of underwhelming arms are set to take the mound. We start the day fading Hunter Brown while simultaneously getting the benefit of backing the lethal Astros top of the order. We then turn our sights towards the nightcap between the Milwaukee Brewers and Colorado Rockies as both offenses are in a position to continue to succeed. For more information about the YRFI market and what factors make them worth a wager, take a look at our breakdown of what are YRFI bets.

As for where to wager on YRFIs, the FanDuel Sportsbook has been the front runner for the market as they consistently put out lines before everyone else and at very favorable odds when compared to the rest of the mobile sportsbooks. If you have not signed up yet with the FanDuel sportsbook and are looking to get in on Monday’s slate of YRFIs, you can claim $150 in bonus bets by simply creating an account and winning your first bet of at least $5 wagered. Be sure to wager the $5 on a heavy favorite immediately after signing up, maximizing your chances of winning and collecting the $150 in bonus bets.

Houston Astros vs. Toronto Blue Jays - Hunter Brown vs. Yariel Rodriguez (3:07 PM, EST)

Over 0.5 Run (-106) at FanDuel

Monday’s slate may be small, but one of our favorite fade targets makes his return when Hunter Brown takes the mound for the Houston Astros defense. The young pitcher has struggled to find his footing in his 2024 campaign, routinely struggling with his command and putting opposing runners in scoring position. His struggles are poised to persist as he faces off against a lethal Blue Jays top of the order.

Especially with star contact hitter Bo Bichette rounding back into form, giving the Blue Jays much needed production that they were sorely missing earlier this season. During his cold stretch, the Blue Jays as a whole ranked near dead last in Team Total Hits, RBIs, Total Runs Scored, and On Base Percentage. Since stringing together some consistent performances, the Blue Jays now rank near above league average in the same previously mentioned metrics.

Bichette, along with the rest of the Blue Jays offense, are in a position to build on their recent momentum as Hunter Brown continues to underwhelm in his starts for the Houston Astros. Brown struggles to avoid contact, taking the mound with an ERA of 4.37, a WHIP of 1.369, a FIP of 4.18, an astonishing 32 Batters Walked, 78 Hits Allowed, and 39 Earned Runs Against.

As for the Astros offense, they continue to play as one of the best units in the league off the bats of their elite top of their order. Jose Altuve has surged up the board for most Total Hits while Yordan Alvarez and Alex Bregman continue to terrorize opposing pitchers with their impressive blend of power and contact ability. Expect instant success against the Blue Jays Yariel Rodriguez as he takes the mound with a WHIP of 1.920.

Bet on Over 0.5 Run (-125) at FanDuel 

Milwaukee Brewers vs. Colorado Rockies - Bryse Wilson vs. Austin Gomber (8:40 PM, EST)

Over 0.5 Run (-104) at BetRivers

Originally projected to finish near dead last in the NL Central after entering the season listed as high as +1000 on the oddsboard, the Milwaukee Brewers quickly got off to a hot start and have held a firm position at the top of the division standings. Their offense has played a key part in their early season success, consistently ranking near the top of the board in Team Total Hits, RBIs, Total Runs Scored, and On Base Percentage.

They are now presented a beautiful opportunity to continue to succeed and build their lead at the top of the standings against the Rockies Austin Gomber. Gomber has mightily struggled to punch opposing batters out, clocking in a lowly 56 Total Strikeouts in 15 total games played. His reliance on his defense to mask his poor production is a recipe for disaster as the Rockies back end ranks dead last in Defensive Efficiency.

As for the Rockies, their offense has quietly been competitive even though they rival the Chicago White Sox for the worst record in the league. They excel at making contact by ranking above league average in Team Total Hits, now facing off against the Brewers Bryse Wilson who fails to create Whiffs. With just 59 Total Strikeouts and a WHIP of 1.230 in 19 games played, expect the Rockies offense to match the Brewers offensive production.

Bet on Over 0.5 Run (-104) at BetRivers 

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