Monday’s slate may seem daunting at first for how many productive arms are set to take the mound, but two games still show enough value for a YRFI. We start the day backing the Rockies and Twins as their top-of-the-order faces off against two underwhelming pitchers. We then turn our sights towards a popular team to back for our daily YRFI series when the Houston Astros battle it out against the San Francisco Giants. For more information about the YRFI market and what factors make them worth a wager, take a look at our breakdown of what are YRFI bets.
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The Astros have been a popular team to back in our daily YRFI series, and for good reason as they field one of the best top of the orders in the league while their defense continues to struggle. Their offense has been their main source of production as they continue to rise back up the AL West standings after starting the year well below 0.500. The Astros are now 30-36 and 6.5 games back from the first place Seattle Mariners.
Should they want to be re-considered as a World Series contender like they were heading into the year, then their top of the order of Jose Altuve, surging MVP candidate Kyle Tucker, and Yordan Alvarez will need to continue to set the tone early by getting into scoring position. Their offensive production has helped the Astros rank near top of the board in Team Total Hits, On Base Percentage, Total Runs Scored, and RBIs.
They now have an opportunity to start the scoring early against the Giants starting pitcher Kyle Harrison as he has struggled to keep opposing runners off the bases as his WHIP of 1.394 indicates. Harrison is an aggressive pitcher with a tendency to hang balls over the plate, now being put in a position where that same tendency will be punished against a crop of elite contact hitters.
As for the Giants offense, it’s been a roller coaster of a season for them as they have ranked as low as bottom five in the previously mentioned key metrics and as high as above league average. They are now given an opportunity to continue to build on their momentum against the Astros Spencer Arrighetti who has been a routine fade target for our daily YRFI series. Arrighetti takes the mound with an ERA of 5.79 and a WHIP of 1.671.
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Speaking of teams who have severely underwhelmed since the start of the season, the Minnesota Twins came into the year as a preseason favorite to win the AL Central but are currently 8.5 games back from first. They don’t necessarily excel at any area of the field, ranking below average in offensive Team Total Hits, On Base Percentage, RBIs, Runs Scored, and Team Total Pitching ERA.
Their defense has been their lone source of success, yet rank just barely above league average in Defensive Efficiency. That bodes well for a Rockies offense who is flirting with positive regression as they rank above average in Team Total Hits yet below average in RBIs and Runs Scored. Expect regression to swing towards their way against the Twins Chris Paddack as he takes the mound with an ERA of 5.26 and a WHIP of 1.415.
As for the Twins, their offense will be in a position to start climbing back up the board against Dakota Hudson as he has mightily struggled as the Rockies starting pitcher. Hudson has been as equally awful as his counterpart Chris Paddack as he comes into the contest with an ERA of 5.25, a WHIP of 1.524, a shockingly low 35 Total Strikeouts, 61 Hits Allowed, and 36 Earned Runs Against in 12 games played.
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