Memorial Day brings an abundance of MLB games for us to wager on, starting in the afternoon and going all the way into the night. Two YRFIs stick out as a pair of NL East teams in the Atlanta Braves and Philadelphia Phillies battle it out against the Washington Nationals and San Francisco Giants. Expect plenty of offense to be featured in both games as a crop of underwhelming pitchers take the mound. For more information about the YRFI market and what factors make them worth a wager, take a look at our breakdown of what are YRFI bets.
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Not only do we get to back an elite Atlanta Braves offense that is poised to positively regress back towards the mean, but we get to back them against our favorite fade target with Patrick Corbin taking the mound for the Washington Nationals. Corbin has been a household name for our daily YRFI series, showing an ability to generate any sort of positive production as the Nationals struggling starting pitcher.
With Corbin taking the mound, the Braves offense is in a good position as ever to bounce back after a rough past month of offensive play. Once near the top of the board across most offensive metrics, the Braves have had to deal with a poor stretch of luck and now rank below league average in Team Total Hits, Runs Scored, and RBIs. They still manage to get on base at a routine rate, ranking above average in On Base Percentage, but have struggled to bring their runners home with the following plate appearances.
They now have a chance to round back into form, as well as start a much needed run after slipping to second in the NL East standings and seven games back from the Philadelphia Phillies. The likes of Ronald Acuna Jr, Marcell Ozuna, and Matt Olson get the opportunity to start off the scoring against Corbin who possesses an ERA of 6.29, a WHIP of 1.767, an astonishing 75 Hits Allowed, and 38 Earned Runs Against.
As for the Nationals, offensive production will be much tougher to come by against the Braves Charlie Morton but are still in a position to start scoring early with their top heavy lineup. Morton has struggled to replicate the production needed after the loss of preseason Cy Young favorite Spencer Strider due to his lack of command, coming into the contest with an ERA of 3.35, a WHIP of 1.196, and 21 Batters Walked.
Bet on Over 0.5 Run (-106) at FanDuel
While the Braves offense have played far lower than preseason projections amidst their cold stretch, the Giants defense have suffered the same fate since the addition of former Cy Young winner Blake Snell. Snell was supposed to be a big splash for the Giants pitching rotation in an attempt to compete with the NL West favorites Los Angeles Dodgers, but has yet to do his part since joining his new home.
Snell comes into the contest with an abysmal ERA of 11.40 and a WHIP of 2.067. While negative regression did loom large after a full season worth of stranding runners on base, no one projected it would be this bad. To make matters worse, the Phillies offense will do him no favors as they currently rank top-3 in the league in Team Total Hits, RBIs, Total Runs Scored, and On Base Percentage.
As for the Phillies defense, they trot out Taijuan Walker who makes his fifth appearance this season. In his limited number of starts, Walker has underperformed as he comes into the contest with an ERA of 5.06, a WHIP of 1.538, 31 Hits Allowed, and 15 Earned Runs Against. He is now in a less than ideal position as the Giants red hot offense have surged back up to above average league marks across the board and bring momentum with them in this matchup.
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