Best YRFI Bets Today: A Pair of Tuesday Evening YRFIs

Tuesday’s slate of games brings an abundance of regressing pitchers, giving us plenty of YRFIs for us to choose from. Two stick out immediately with both games taking place in the early evening slot when the San Diego Padres face off against the Cincinnati Reds and the New York Mets looking to round back into form against the surging Cleveland Guardians. For more information about the YRFI market and what factors make them worth a wager, take a look at our breakdown of what are YRFI bets.

As for where to wager on YRFIs, the FanDuel sportsbook has been the pioneer for the market as they consistently put out lines before everyone else and at very favorable odds when compared to the rest of the mobile sportsbooks. If you have not signed up yet with the FanDuel sportsbook, you can claim $150 in bonus bets by simply creating an account and winning your first bet of at least $5 wagered. Be sure to wager the $5 on a heavy favorite immediately after signing up, maximizing your chances of winning and collecting the $150 in bonus bets.

San Diego Padres vs. Cincinnati Reds - Joe Musgrove vs. Andrew Abbott (6:40 PM, EST)

Over 0.5 Run (-107) at FanDuel

The Cincinnati Reds offensive woes continue to haunt them, now dead last in the NL Central standings after struggling to stay within scoring pace of their opposition. An oddity for them after being largely thought of as possessing one of the more electric lineups in the league off the backs of a young core poised to take a leap with their production. 

That has yet to be the case at this point of the season, but Joe Musgrove from the San Diego Padres may give them the bounceback opportunity that the Reds desperately need as he has struggled throughout the 2024 season. Musgrove enters the matchup with the Reds with an ERA of 6.37, a WHIP of 1.512, 36 Total Strikeouts, 13 Batters Walked, 49 Hits Allowed, and 29 Earned Runs Against in eight games played. Even our favorite fade target Patrick Corbin has fared better this season.

Musgrove’s high WHIP bodes well for the Reds offense as it indicates that nearly two opposing batters are getting on base per inning. That puts a man in scoring position and one single away from scoring to cash the YRFI, especially if that runner happens to be Elly De La Cruz who possesses blistering fast speed while comfortably leading the league in Total Stolen Bases.

As for the Padres, their offense has been a shocking revelation as they continue to rank among the best of them with above league average marks in Total Team Hits, Runs Scored, RBIs, and On Base Percentage. Their batting production also improved with the acquisition of Luis Arraez Jr who is in contention for most hits this season. Every bit of their production will be needed against the Reds Andrew Abbott as he has put together a respectable start to his season, possessing an ERA of 3.06 and a WHIP of 1.140.

Bet on Over 0.5 Run (-107) at FanDuel

New York Mets vs. Cleveland Guardians - Adrian Houser vs. Carlos Carrasco (6:10 PM, EST)

Over 0.5 Run (-121) at FanDuel

Shortly following our first YRFI of the day, our next one kicks off when the New York Mets battle it out against the Cleveland Guardians. Both offenses are in a position to round back into form after dipping below average in some metrics after getting out to a hot start to their season, now getting the benefit of taking on two regressing pitchers to help them in their efforts.

Starting with the Mets, they trot out Adrian Houser who has had a rough start to his year as opposing teams have had little to no issue with getting on base and maximizing their chances of scoring against him. Houser comes into the contest with an ERA of 7.44 and a shockingly high WHIP of 1.837. That bodes well for a Guardians unit who has struggled lately with generating Hits, now getting the opportunity to positively regress back towards the mean to match their already above average scoring rate.

As for the Guardians, they roll out Carlos Carrasco who has fared slightly better than his counterpart Houser but has still struggled to limit the number of runners on base. Carrasco comes into the contest with an ERA of 5.16 and a WHIP of 1.456 and now has to try and avoid disaster against the opening one two punch of Francisco Lindor and league leading home run contender Pete Alonso.

Bet on Over 0.5 Run (-121) at FanDuel

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