Our favorite YRFI fade target returns to kick off our Wednesday when Patrick Corbin takes the mound for the Washington Nationals to battle it out against the Chicago White Sox. The White Sox offense may not exactly strike fear in opposing defenses hearts, but Patrick Corbin’s low level of play can elevate any struggling offense. We then turn our sights towards two struggling pitchers when the Miami Marlins continue their series against the Detroit Tigers. For more information about the YRFI market and what factors make them worth a wager, take a look at our breakdown of what are YRFI bets.
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While the Washington Nationals have far exceeded preseason expectations so far this year as they are currently third in the NL East standings, it has not been because of the play of Patrick Corbin. Corbin has been a routine fade target in our daily YRFI series as he has been one of the worst starting pitchers in the league.
Patrick Corbin comes into the contest with an ERA of 5.91, a WHIP of 1.781, 29 Strikeouts, 16 Batters Walked, a startling 60 Hits Allowed, and 28 Earned Runs Against in eight games played. Even against a White Sox offense that ranks dead last in Team Total Hits, Runs Scored, and On Base Percentage, they have as good a chance as ever to elevate their play against Patrick Corbin as his lack of command will hang pitches across the plate for their batters to exploit.
As for the White Sox defense, they trot out Garrett Crochet who has also struggled during his 2024 campaign and now takes on a Nationals offense that is flirting with positive regression. Heading into this matchup, the Nationals rank league average in On Base Percentage and Walk Rate, but near dead last in Team Total Hits, Runs Scored, and Team Total RBIs.
That indicates that the Nationals offense relies too heavily on getting walked, now getting the opportunity to uptick their Team Total Hits against Crochet’s low level of play. Crochet enters the contest with an ERA of 4.63, a WHIP of 0.986, 37 Hits Allowed, 64 Strikeouts, 37 Hits Allowed, and 24 Earned Runs Against. Crochet’s aggressiveness to punch out will leave him vulnerable to getting rocked, elevating the Nationals offense to a more well rounded unit.
Bet on Over 0.5 Run (+104) at FanDuel
Continuing the theme of backing two underwhelming offenses against two struggling pitchers, we target the matchup between the Miami Marlins and Detroit Tigers as runs may be scored at a more consistent rate. It hasn’t exactly been a banner year so far this season for their offenses as both units rank well below average in Team Total Hits, Runs Scored, Team Total RBIs, and On Base Percentage.
While the Marlins struggles may have been expected, the Tigers low level of play has been head scratching as they were poised to take the next step in their offensive production and contend for the AL Central division title. They now get the opportunity to build some momentum against the Marlins Trevor Rogers as he comes into the contest with an ERA of 6.57, a WHIP of 1.865, 52 Hits Allowed, and 27 Earned Runs Against in eight games played.
As for the Marlins, they face off against the Tigers Casey Mize who has had a rollercoaster of a season. At any moment, Mize can turn in a dominant Cy Young type performance, or an underwhelming one as he has an ERA of 3.48 and a WHIP of 1.301. His steadily increasing WHIP indicates he is flirting with danger, averaging over one runner on base per inning and opening the door for scoring opportunities with a man on second.
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