After snapping our cold stretch, we now get the benefit of fading one of our favorite YRFI targets with Nestor Cortes making his return to the mound. Even against the lowly Oakland Athletics, Cortes lack of command can elevate any opposing play to the benefit of the YRFI. We also back the Dodgers' elite batting lineup once again as they are poised to give MacKenzie Gore fits. For more information about the YRFI market and what makes them worth a wager, you can read it here.
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While Patrick Corbin remains to be our favorite fade target regarding the YRFI market, Nestor Cortes has made a case for the top spot. While he has managed to turn around his severely underwhelming start to his season with more consistent performances, his own aggressiveness has left him prone to getting shelled early for runs scored against.
In five games played so far, Cortes comes into this matchup with an ERA of 3.41, a WHIP of 1.069, 28 strikeouts, 26 hits allowed, five batters walked, and 11 earned runs against. He still averages over one opposing batter on base per inning, leaving the door open for a potential early run should his lack of command creep back into his play after a recent hot stretch.
As for the Athletics, they trot out Alex Wood who has mightily struggled in his five appearances so far this season. He comes into the contest with a startling low ERA of 7.89, a WHIP of 2.031, 20 strikeouts, 33 hits allowed, 11 batters walked, and 19 earned runs against.
His high walk rate is especially intriguing as he faces a Yankees batting lineup that excels at extending pitches and getting on base. While the Yankees rank below average in total hits, they actually climb up to as high as second in total walks generated and on-base percentage. They are cool, calm, and collected, and know when to pick their spots in one of the friendliest hitting parks in the league.
To make matters worse for Wood, he will be forced to throw more aggressively at the revamped Yankees lineup in an effort to keep runners off the bases with the likes of Aaron Judge and Giancarlo Stanton lurking down the order. With Soto possessing elite vision and an ability to extend pitches deep into a count, expect Wood to continue to struggle with the Yankees in a position to score one early in the contest.
Place your YRFI bets at FanDuel
Much like Patrick Corbin and Nestor Cortes are our favorite fade targets, the Los Angeles Dodgers have been one of our favorite teams to back when wagering on a YRFI. They are top-3 in the league in total hits and on-base percentage, fielding arguably the best top of the order in the league with Mookie Betts, Shohei Ohtani, and Freddie Freeman all possessing MVP potential in their own right.
They now get the opportunity to tee off against MacKenzie Gore who has had a modest start to his season. Coming into this contest, Gore has an ERA of 3.60, a WHIP of 1.350, 21 hits allowed, and eight earned runs against in four games played. He’s managed to limit the damage in the scoring department, but his steadily increasing WHIP indicates negative regression is looming with opposing offenses finding success against the young pitcher.
As for the Dodgers, they roll out preseason Cy Young contender Yoshinobu Yamamoto who came into the season with sky-high expectations. While he has managed to minimize the damage from his earlier underwhelming performances, he’s still prone to getting beat as he has an ERA of 4.50 and a WHIP of 1.136. The Nationals may underwhelm on paper, but they are top-heavy with their batting production and capable of making contact against the struggling rookie prospect.
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