Best YRFI Bets Today: Time to Fade Former Cy Young Winner Blake Snell

After getting the opportunity to fade our favorite regressing pitcher, we now turn our sights towards former NL Cy Young award winner Blake Snell who has struggled to get accommodated in his new home. It hasn’t exactly been an ideal start to the season for the former award-winning pitcher, now having to find answers in a pinch against a dangerous Mets top of their order. For more information about YRFIs and what factors into them being worth a wager, you can read it here.

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New York Mets vs. San Francisco Giants - Sean Manaea vs. Blake Snell (3:45 PM, EST)

Over 0.5 Run (+114) at FanDuel

Afternoon is baseball is back and we start our day by fading former NL Cy Young award winner Blake Snell as he looks to take the mound against the New York Mets. It’s been a turbulent year already for the elite pitching product, having to go through a lengthy offseason wondering who his next team would be before last second signing with the San Francisco Giants.

Since signing with them, his struggles have since bled onto the field as he currently has an ERA of 11.57, a WHIP of 1.971, 18 hits allowed, five batters walked, and an astonishing 15 earned runs against. A startling regression as he finished his Cy Young award winning campaign with an ERA of 2.25 and a WHIP of 1.19.

While Snell’s regression certainly screams positive regression, it’s also worth noting that the star studded pitcher has had issues with opposing offenses consistently making contact. During his stint with the Padres, Snell routinely had opposing runners on base due to his own aggressive pitching tendencies coming back to bite him.

Snell managed to minimize the damage with runners on base, but negative regression loomed large as he consistently played with fire by being one errand pitch away from runs being scored against him. He now has to face a dangerous Mets batting lineup that ranks near top-10 in on base percentage, excelling at getting into scoring position with their elite contact ability at the top of the order.

As for the Mets, they trot out Sean Manaea who has also slightly underwhelmed to start his 2024 season. Manaea comes into this matchup with an ERA of 4.12, a WHIP of 1.373, 17 hits allowed, 10 batters walked, and nine earned runs against. He has struggled with his command as noted in his high walk rate, providing opposing offenses extra opportunities to get on base and in scoring position.

Place your YRFI bets at FanDuel

Houston Astros vs. Chicago Cubs - Spencer Arrighetti vs. Jameson Taillon (7:40 PM, EST)

Over 0.5 Run (-118) at FanDuel

Our next YRFI pits a battle of regression with the Houston Astros elite batting lineup is poised to give the Chicago Cubs Jameson Taillon fits after his hot start to the season. Especially early on as the Astros top of their order is as elite as it comes, fielding MVP level talent at the one through three spot. They rank first in the league in total hits and fifth in on base percentage.

Jose Altuve, Yordan Alvarez, and Kyle Tucker all possess an elite blend of power and contact ability and now get the chance to bring Jameson Taillon back down to reality after his dominating start. Taillon comes into the contest with an ERA of 1.80 and a WHIP of 0.600 in his lone game played, indicating that negative regression looms large as this is a sharp contrast from his career averages.

Speaking of the Astros, they trot out Spencer Arrighetti who has had a disastrous start to his season. He comes into this matchup with an ERA of 11.57, a WHIP of 2.286, 11 hits allowed, and nine earned runs against in just two games played. His high WHIP shows that opposing offenses have routinely had players in scoring position with a man on second, being in a great spot to bring one in for an early run scored.

Head to FanDuel and place your YRFI bets

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