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In a slate that features plenty of elite pitching talent, two late-night games stick out as potential YRFI targets with underwhelming pitchers taking the mound. Pitching has been an Achilles heel for the Arizona Diamondbacks so far this season and Tommy Henry has given them no help with his lack of command. As for the main event, we fade Patrick Corbin once again as a repeat fade target in this daily YRFI series. For more information about YRFIs and what to look for when betting on them, you can read it here.
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Our favorite fade target makes his return on Tuesday night as Patrick Corbin is set to face off against the dangerous Los Angeles Dodgers. Corbin’s pitching production has steadily nose-dived over the past few years and has shown no signs of turning it around so far this season.
Corbin enters the contest with an ERA of 8.44, a WHIP of 1.928, 27 hits allowed, four batters walked, and an astonishing 15 earned runs against in just three games played. Those marks are somehow a decline from his lackluster spring training, finishing the preseason with an ERA of 5.51, a WHIP of 1.531, 21 hits allowed, four batters walked, and 10 earned runs against.
It’s been a steady decline for the veteran pitcher, potentially nearing a downgrade should he continue to decline. That leaves us with limited opportunities to fade him, now getting the chance to do so while simultaneously backing the Dodgers' bats. The Dodgers batters have paced the rest of the league as their first four hitters reside in the top-10 in MLB in total hits. Expect the likes of Mookie Betts, Shohei Ohtani, Freddie Freeman, and Will Smith to tee off on Corbin, getting runs on the board early and often.
Speaking of the Dodgers, they go deep into their pitching rotation by trotting out relief pitcher Michael Grove to start the contest. Grove has already made six appearances with zero starts so far this season, possessing an ERA of 8.71, a WHIP of 1.645, 13 hits allowed, four batters walked, and 13 earned runs against.
His appearances in the six games he has played have been brief, combining for only 10.1 innings pitched. Grove starting makes it hard to project, but a majority of the value in this YRFI resides on the opposite end with the Dodgers facing off against Corbin. That doesn’t mean Grove isn't suspect of getting shelled early as his high WHIP indicates that the Nationals may find themselves with a runner in scoring position with nearly two men at base per appearance.
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Before the Nationals and Dodgers kick off, we start our night fading the pitching duel between the Chicago Cubs' Kyle Hendricks and Arizona Diamondbacks' Tommy Henry. Both struggling pitchers in their own right, now both having to face two respectable batting lineups.
Starting with Hendricks, his struggles have started since spring training and he has only managed to get worse throughout the season. In March, Hendricks had an ERA of 6.30, a WHIP of 1.700, 29 hits allowed, five batters walked, and 14 earned runs against. Since the start of the regular season, his averages have plummeted as he now has an ERA of 12.08 and a WHIP of 2.368 in just three games played.
While Tommy Henry has fared far better than Hendricks since the start of the regular season, his numbers are still underwhelming as he has an ERA of 5.79, a WHIP of 1.643, 16 hits allowed, seven batters walked, and nine earned runs against. Pairing his lack of command with Hendricks' inability to keep opposing batters off the bases and this game has the makings for plenty of runs to be scored against two formidable batting lineups.
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Kody Malstrom is a sports betting journalist with six years of writing experience in the industry. He covers an abundance of sports, including College Football, NFL, College Basketball, NBA, and more. Born and raised in Michigan, Kody is a devoted Detroit Sports fan and spends his Sundays rooting for the Detroit Lions while telling himself this year is the year they win it all. When not staring at betting markets, Kody spends his free time at the beach in the summer or snowboarding in the winter.
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