Best YRFI Bets Today: Start the Month Fading the Reds and Phillies

The first weekend of the MLB season has come and gone and now we head into the new month with some more weekday games. Regular season data is still scarce as today’s slate of pitchers are making their debuts, meaning the variance for our YRFI best bets are still volatile. Still, spring training gave us a preview of what may come and gave us some insurance on two YRFI bets that I love for Monday’s slate.

As for what sportsbook to bet them on, the FanDuel sportsbook once again continues to be one of the better apps for early YRFI wagers. They routinely give out favorable lines, as well as being one of the first books to open up the YRFI market. If you have not signed up yet with the FanDuel sportsbook, then you can receive $200 in bonus bets simply for signing up and winning your first bet of at least $5 wagered. Check out our FanDuel sportsbook review for more info.

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Cincinnati Reds vs. Philadelphia Phillies - Andrew Abbott vs. Christopher Sanchez (6:40 PM, EST)

Over 0.5 Run (-115) at FanDuel

It’s no surprise that the Reds have been one of the more consistent scoring units in the league since the start of the regular season. They are loaded with young talent from top to bottom, bringing in a mixture of elite contact batters who are also dangerous base runners.

The issue with the Reds is that their scoring has stemmed from later in the game rather than early on. This factor mostly involves chance, which means that there's likely to be improvement towards scoring early in the game. Especially with the brunt of their batting production excelling.

The Reds now face the Philadelphia Phillies Christopher Sanchez, a seasoned pitcher who rolls into the regular season at a low point after an underwhelming spring training. Sanchez struggled to keep batters off the bases, finishing the preseason with a WHIP of 2.455 and an ERA of 8.59.

The struggles to keep the opposing batters off the bases are especially intriguing against the Reds, as that is Cincanatti’s strong suit, as previously mentioned. While not confirmed yet, it will be intriguing to see if they bring Elly De La Cruz back up into the top of the order in an attempt to get his elite speed on the bases from the opening pitch.

Regarding the Phillies, they'll have Bryce Harper back in the lineup after he took a scheduled day off, possibly due to a scary fall into the dugout. He joins slugger Kyle Schwarber and Trea Turner at the top of the order against the Reds Andrew Abbott. Abbott also struggled with keeping batters off the bases in spring training, finishing the preseason with a WHIP of 1.875. While he managed to keep his walk rate low, Abbott struggled with his pitches across the middle as he gave up 14 hits in three games.

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Detroit Tigers vs. New York Mets - Reese Olson vs. Sean Manaea (7:10 PM, EST)

Over 0.5 Run (-102) at FanDuel

Much like the Reds, the Detroit Tigers are another team on my radar due to their youth and above average batting abilities spread across their batting lineup. They spent the offseason bolstering their depth, potentially turning them into a contender to win a very weak AL Central. The Minnesota Twins are still the favorites, but a case can be made that they should contend until the very end.

After sweeping their series against the Chicago White Sox, they now face the New York Mets. Monday’s matchup is against Sean Manaea, a veteran pitcher who had a modest spring training. His strikeout rate was high, but so was his contact rate and he now faces Parker Meadows, Spencer Torkelson, and Riley Greene, who are all due to positively bounce back towards the mean after going a combined 0-12 in their last game out.

As for the Mets, they face Reese Olson, who also had a modest spring training but was a bit sporadic with his command. His strikeout rate was low, only striking out 14 batters in five games played, while walking four and allowing 11 hits. That shows an aggression towards the batter's box, potentially leaving him vulnerable to being taken deep against the Mets power hitters. Brandon Nimmo, Francisco Lindor, and Pete Alonso all possess elite power, potentially opening the scoring early to the benefit of our YRFI.

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