Best YRFI Bets Today: Back the Top Heavy Astros Again

We were one inning too late in the Reds and Nationals game from starting the year with a YRFI sweep, but the Astros came through off the bats of an elite top of the order. Targeting elite top of the orders will be a common theme throughout this piece, as well as other factors that you can read here.

As for where to bet YRFI’s, the FanDuel Sportsbook has been a great app for the YRFI market as it is normally the first sportsbook to put out lines for them and at the best odds. FanDuel is also giving new users who have not signed up yet $200 in bonus bets for simply signing up and winning their first wager of at least $5. For more information about the FanDuel Sportsbook and their new user promotion, you can read it here.

For more betting opportunities check our list of the best MLB betting sites and curated list of MLB promos and bonuses.

New York Yankees vs. Houston Astros - Carlos Rodon vs. Christian Javier (8:10 PM, EST)

Over 0.5 Run (-116) at FanDuel

After cashing the YRFI in this matchup on Opening Day, we are going back to the well to try and cash this on day two. The Astros needed to go deep in their lineup in order to cash it with Chas McCormick coming through at the sixth spot. A sigh of relief with two outs in the bottom of the first.

The Astros now face Carlos Rodon who had an up-and-down performance in spring training. His walk rate was low, only walking five batters in five games, but opposing batters had no issue with turning their hits into runs. Rodon allowed 14 hits to turn into 11 runs, now having to battle an Astros top of the order who excels at making contact.

Especially with a healthy Jose Altuve and Jordan Alvarez back in the lineup, giving opposing pitchers little room for error. If just one of Altuve or Alvarez gets on base, that puts pressure on Rodon as he is forced to get more aggressive in the box against Kyle Tucker. Tucker may have had an underwhelming performance in his season debut, but he did still manage to bring in a run.

As for the New York Yankees, they face Christian Javier who went into last year with a lot of potential but underwhelmed in a win perspective. He has managed to show improvement in a small sample size in spring training, bringing his ERA down to 3.72 from 2023’s 4.56 and 1.034 WHIP down from 2023’s 1.27.

Javier’s issue is that he still tends to be overly aggressive and gives contact hitters a higher chance of success. With Soto being able to extend his at-bat, that leaves little room for error and a high probability he gets on base to increase the chance of cashing this prop.

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Toronto Blue Jays vs. Tampa Bay Rays - Chris Bassitt vs. Aaron Civale (6:50 PM, EST)

Over 0.5 Run (-102) at FanDuel

After a high-scoring duel that resulted in 10 total runs against each other on Opening Day, we are now buying in on the idea of the momentum carrying over into the first inning for this one. Be sure to line shop for this prop as it is as low as -102 on FanDuel and as high as -136 in some sportsbooks.

A big reason for the varied lines is the uncertainty that these pitchers bring after underwhelming spring training performances. Especially from Chris Bassitt who allowed 23 hits and 11 earned runs in 5 games started. He finished the month with an ERA of 4.30. He now faces a top of the Rays batting that is built for consistent contact. They were relatively held in check outside of Diaz who finished with three hits on four plate appearances. Should he stay hot as their leadoff man, that puts the Rays in a good position to bring him home with Lowe and Arozarena bound to positively regress back towards the mean.

As for Civale, his spring training didn't fare much better as he finished the preseason with an ERA of 5.25 in just three games. In the 10 hits allowed, four were home runs. His tendency to hang across the middle will spell potential doom against the likes of Vlad Guerrero and Bo Bichette, two lethal batters who can make contact with ease and take him yard if he continues to throw into dangerous situations.

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