Best NRFI Bets Today: Expect Garrett Crochet to Strengthen His Claim for the AL Cy Young Award

With two Cy Young contenders set to take the mound, expect the Seattle Mariners and Boston Red Sox top of their orders to struggle as Bryan Woo and Garrett Crochet both excel at avoiding contact. Later in the night, we turn our attention towards the night slate as J.T. Ginn has the opportunity to round back into form with a favorable matchup against a Texas Rangers offense who grades out poorly in Contact Rate.

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Seattle Mariners vs. Boston Red Sox - Bryan Woo vs. Garrett Crochet (1:35 PM, EST)

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Since the start of the season, Garrett Crochet has steadily pulled away on the oddsboard for the AL Cy Young award as the Boston Red Sox pitcher is averaging an ERA of 1.13, a WHIP of 0.906, and a FIP of 2.18. A stunning high level of play when factoring in how poorly his defense ranks in Defensive Efficiency, yet his ability to consistently avoid contact while generating a high amount of Strikeouts helps keep opposing runners out of scoring position.

Against Seattle, Crochet will have the opportunity to strengthen his position for the AL Cy Young award as he faces off against a Mariners offense who ranks 23rd in Team Total Hits. Especially with their star duo of Julio Rodriguez and Randy Arozarena struggling to play at a competitive level as both players currently possess a Batting Average lower than 0.210 and an OPS less than 0.800.

On the other side of the mound, Bryan Woo is tasked with a much tougher assignment as he faces off against a Red Sox offense who ranks top-8 in Team Total Hits, RBIs, Total Runs Scored, and in On Base Percentage. Unfortunately for Boston, Woo possesses more than enough arm talent to neutralize their offense as the Mariners pitchers averages less than one Hit Against per Inning Pitched, an ERA of 3.12, a WHIP of 1.038, and a FIP of 3.03.

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Texas Rangers vs. Athletics - Jacob deGrom vs. J.T. Ginn (10:05 PM, EST)

Under 0.5 Run (-120) at BetMGM Sportsbook

It’s been a turbulent start to the year for the Texas Rangers offense as their lineup currently ranks below league average in Team Total Hits, RBIs, Total Runs Scored, and in On Base Percentage. A poor level of play for a unit who was expected to play a major role in their ability to compete for the AL West division title, yet their lack of contact ability makes it hard for their offense to get into scoring position.

Their struggles on offense are poised to persist on Thursday night as they face off against J.T. Ginn who excels at generating Strikeouts and avoiding contact at a high rate. In his two starts, Ginn is averaging less than one Hit Against and more then one Strikeout per Inning Pitched while generating an ERA of 3.60 and a FIP of 2.93. While his WHIP of 1.300 is a cause for concern, positive regression looms large with the Rangers offense struggling to make contact.

As for Jacob deGrom, the Rangers pitcher is in a favorable position to put together a dominant performance as he faces off against an Athletics offense who struggles to get on base. Even though the A’s excel at making contact, getting on base will continue to be a struggle as deGrom averages less than one Hit Against per Inning Pitched and a WHIP of 1.062. The Rangers back end also excels in coverage as their defense ranks sixth in Defensive Efficiency.

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Best YRFI Bets Today

• Tampa Bay Rays vs. Arizona Diamondbacks - Drew Rasmussen vs. Corbin Burnes - With the Tampa Bay Rays offense ranking above league average in Contact Rate and in On Base Percentage, expect the top of their order to get into scoring position from the opening pitch as they face off against Corbin Burnes who possesses a WHIP of 1.406 and a FIP of 5.42.

• Colorado Rockies vs. Kansas City Royals - German Marquez vs. Cole Ragans - Expect the Kansas City Royals offense to round back into form as they face off against the Colorado Rockies German Marquez who averages over one Hit Against per Inning Pitched and a WHIP of 1.837.

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