Best NRFI Bets Today: A Pair of NRFIs for Game Two in the AL

With their backs against the wall and on the brink of elimination, the Houston Astros roll out Hunter Brown in a desperate attempt to neutralize the red hot Detroit Tigers bats. After the conclusion of their contest, we turn our attention towards game two of the series between the Kansas City Royals and Baltimore Orioles as a pair of productive arms are set to take the mound.

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Game Two: Detroit Tigers vs. Houston Astros - Tyler Holton vs. Hunter Brown (2:32 PM, EST)

Under 0.5 Run (-122) at FanDuel

After the Tigers upset the Astros in game one of their series, Houston is on the brink of elimination after entering the year listed as one of the betting favorites to win the World Series. Granted they drew the unfortunate task of having to swing against the potential AL Cy Young winner Tarik Skubal, suffering a massive drop off in offensive production as they failed to make contact against one of the best pitchers in the league.

To make matters worse for Houston, their offense is in a position to struggle once again as they are set to face off against the Tigers rotational pitcher Tyler Holton. Holton has built a successful 2024 campaign off of his ability to avoid contact, entering game two of the series averaging less than one Hit Against per Inning Pitched while generating a WHIP of 0.784. Holton also gets the benefit of being supported by one of the best back ends in the league as the Tigers rank fourth overall in Defensive Efficiency.

Every bit of Holton’s production will be needed against the Astros as Houston’s offense currently ranks well above league average in Team Total Hits, RBIs, Total Runs Scored, and On Base Percentage. Especially early on in their contest as a majority of the Astros offensive production stems from their elite top of their order, a unit that fields the likes of Jose Altuve, Kyle Tucker, and Yordan Alvarez.

On the other side of the field, the Astros trot out Hunter Brown in an attempt to neutralize the Tigers red hot bats to help keep their playoff hopes alive. While Brown has flirted with danger as his WHIP of 1.271 indicates, he has managed to limit the damage done by also possessing an ERA of 3.49 and a high Strikeout Rate. Brown is also supported by a productive defense as the Astros enter the contest ranked 10th overall in Defensive Efficiency.

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Game Two: Kansas City Royals vs. Baltimore Orioles - Seth Lugo vs. Zach Eflin (4:38 PM, EST)

Under 0.5 Run (-120) at FanDuel

Shortly after the conclusion of the contest between the Tigers and Astros, our next NRFI gets underway when the Baltimore Orioles look to keep their playoff hopes alive against the Kansas City Royals. It was a tight contest from start to finish in game one of their series as the Royals managed to squeak out a 1-0 victory over the Orioles. Expect another low scoring affair in game two as a pair of productive pitchers are set to take the mound.

Especially on the Royals end as they roll out Seth Lugo who has flirted with Cy Young contention for a majority of the year. Lugo was dominant on the mound in his 2024 campaign, finishing the regular season with an ERA of 3.00 and a WHIP of 1.089 while only conceding 177 Hits Against in 206.2 Innings Pitched. Even with a regressing defense supporting him, Lugo has shown he possesses enough individual production to neutralize opposing offenses.

As for the Orioles, they trot out Zach Eflin who has continued to play at a competitive rate since acquiring him before the trade deadline. While his opposing contact rate has ticked up, the Orioles pitcher has managed to keep opposing runners at bay as his ERA of 3.59 indicates. Against Kansas City, Eflin will find himself in a position to continue to succeed as the Royals offense struggles with getting on base at a league average rate.

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