Best NRFI Bets Today: Back Trevor Williams Against the Phillies

Normally an offense to avoid for a NRFI, we fade the Philadelphia Phillies top of their order as they are in a position to struggle with the Washington Nationals Trevor Williams set to take the mound. Shortly after that, we target the matchup between the Kansas City Royals and Atlanta Braves as a pair of productive arms are set to face off against two units who struggle with getting on base at a league average rate.

For more information about the NRFI market and what factors into them being worth a wager, check out our breakdown of Daily No Run First Inning.

When looking to make a wager on a NRFI, it’s vital to acquire as many sportsbooks as you can get in order to line shop the volatile market. Each sportsbook also has their own unique signup bonus, giving new users a head start to their bankroll to wager with. FanDuel Sportsbook for example is giving new users $200 in bonus bets for simply creating an account and making an initial wager of at least $5.

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Washington Nationals - Ranger Suarez vs. Trevor Williams (6:45 PM, EST)

Under 0.5 Run (-111) at FanDuel

While the Washington Nationals have been statistically eliminated from making the playoffs, the NL East clinching Philadelphia Phillies have more to play for as they are just one win away from securing one of the two byes in the playoffs. The Phillies are also still in contention for the top overall seed in the NL, battling it out with the Los Angeles Dodgers in the overall standings for the benefit of getting home field advantage throughout October.

Unfortunately for Philadelphia, securing the win over Washington may be tougher than expected as they are set to face off against Trevor Williams. In Trevor’s brief appearances so far this season, the Nationals pitcher has excelled at limiting opposing offensive production as he takes the mound with a ERA of 2.19, a WHIP of 1.038, and a FIP of 2.82. His elite individual production is especially vital as the Nationals defense as a whole ranks 29th overall in Defensive Efficiency.

Every bit of his production will be needed as the Phillies offense enters Friday’s contest against the Nationals ranked near the top of the board in Team Total Hits, RBIs, Total Runs Scored, and On Base Percentage. Their elite top of their order makes up for a majority of their production, fielding the likes of Kyle Schwarber, two time Hits leader Trea Turner, and former MVP Bryce Harper.

On the other side of the field, the Nationals lowly offense are in a position to struggle as they are set to face off against the Phillies Ranger Suarez. Once considered a contender for the Cy Young award in the middle of the year, Suarez has excelled at keeping opposing runners out of scoring position by avoiding contact. In 26 starts, Suarez averages less than one Hit Against per Inning Pitched while generating a WHIP of 1.157 and ERA of 3.15.

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Kansas City Royals vs. Atlanta Braves - Brady Singer vs. Max Fried (7:20 PM, EST)

Under 0.5 Run (-127) at BetRivers

Shortly after the conclusion of our first NRFI, our next one gets underway with the Kansas City Royals facing off against the Atlanta Braves. While the Royals currently hold on to one of the three wildcard spots in the AL, the Braves are currently on the outside looking in. With five games remaining in the regular season for the Braves, they are currently one game back from the Arizona Diamondbacks in the wildcard standings for the last wildcard spot in the NL.

Should the Braves want to salvage their hopes of making the playoffs, then they will need to neutralize the Royals offensive output in order to give their own regressing unit a chance to pull away. Luckily for Atlanta, Max Fried is expected to get the start while on extra rest after their series against the New York Mets got postponed. In 28 starts, Fried takes the mound with an ERA of 3.42, a WHIP of 1.195, just 143 Hits Against, and 63 Earned Runs Allowed.

As for the Royals, they trot out Brady Singer who gets the favor of throwing against a Braves offense who has regressed down to below average in Team Total Hits, RBIs, Total Runs Scored, and On Base Percentage. The Braves inability to make contact at a league average rate will continue to persist as Singer takes the mound averaging less than one Hit Against while generating a FIP of 3.89.

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