With two anemic offenses set to take the field, we kick off our Friday targeting the NRFI between the Seattle Mariners and St. Louis Cardinals as both clubs should struggle to generate early scoring opportunities. Shortly before that takes place, we focus on the contest between the Chicago White Sox and Boston Red Sox as Chicago’s Erick Fedde is more than capable of neutralizing the Red Sox offense.
For more information about the NRFI market and what factors into them being worth a wager, check out our breakdown of Daily No Run First Inning.
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With a little over 20 games left to be played in the regular season, the Seattle Mariners need to string together a hot stretch of play in order to salvage their playoff hopes as they are currently 4.5 games back from the Houston Astros in the AL West division standings. Winning the division is crucial for the Seattle Mariners as they are 5.5 games back from the Minnesota Twins and Kansas City Royals in the wildcard standings for the last wildcard spot.
Should the Mariners want to chip away at the gap between them and the Houston Astros, then they must continue to rely on their defense to keep the contest tight as their offense continues to play as one of the worst units in the league. While the Mariners rank first in Defensive Efficiency and Team Total Pitching ERA, their offense ranks near dead last across the board in Team Total Hits, RBIs, Total Runs Scored, and On Base Percentage.
Mariners starting pitcher Bryce Miller has played a key role in their impressive defensive marks this season, taking the mound with an ERA of 3.30, a WHIP of 0.998, FIP of 3.72, just 119 Hits Against, and 57 Earned Runs Allowed in 27 games played. With the Cardinals offense struggling to get on base at a league average rate, expect Miller to continue to minimize the number of opposing scoring opportunities and make quick work of the Cardinals top of their order.
On the other side of the field, the Cardinals newly acquired Erick Fedde gets the benefit of throwing against one of the worst offenses in the league. Fedde has excelled at avoiding opposing contact this season, entering the contest averaging less than one Hit Against per Inning Pitched and a WHIP of 1.157. Better yet for Fedde, his new home gives him much needed support as the Cardinals defense ranks slightly above league average in Defensive Efficiency.
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Shortly before our first NRFI kicks off, we target the matchup between the Chicago White Sox and Boston Red Sox as the Red Sox look to keep their postseason hopes alive with a matchup against one of the worst teams in the league. Sitting six games back from the Kansas City Royals in the wildcard standings, the Red Sox need to be near flawless in order for them to grab the last wildcard spot.
Unfortunately for their offense, the Red Sox will struggle to maintain their elite marks in Team Total Hits, RBIs, Total Runs Scored, and On Base Percentage as the White Sox starting pitcher Davis Martin has excelled at limiting opposing scoring opportunities as his ERA of 3.62 indicates. Even with a defense that ranks 26th in Defensive Efficiency, expect Martin to neutralize the Red Sox productive top of their order.
Speaking of the Red Sox, Nick Pivetta gets an opportunity to round back into form as he faces off against a White Sox offense that ranks near dead last across the board in the same previously mentioned offensive metrics. Even while limiting the number of opposing runners on base with a WHIP of 1.134, Pivetta has been consistently unlucky as opposing offenses have maximized their minimal scoring opportunities. Expect regression to swing back towards his way, making quick work of the White Sox offense in the process.
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