Best NRFI Bets Today: Continue to Fade the Mariners Offense

With the Seattle Mariners offense continuing to struggle, we start our day fading them against the Los Angeles Angels as early scoring opportunities should come far and few inbetween the two units. We then turn our sights towards an AL Central divisional matchup between the Detroit Tigers and Cleveland Guardians as both clubs roll out a pair of productive arms.

For more information about the NRFI market and what factors into them being worth a wager, check out our breakdown of Daily No Run First Inning.

When looking to make a wager on a NRFI, it’s vital to have as many sportsbooks as you can get in order to line shop the volatile market. Each sportsbook also has their own unique signup bonus, giving new users a boost to their bankroll to wager with during the MLB season.

FanDuel Sportsbook for example is giving new users $200 in bonus bets for simply creating an account and winning their first bet of at least $5 wagered. Be sure to wager the $5 on a heavy favorite immediately after signing up, maximizing your chances of winning and collecting the $200 in bonus bets.

Los Angeles Angels vs. Seattle Mariners - Griffin Canning vs. Luis Castillo (3:40 PM, EST)

Under 0.5 Run (-130) at FanDuel

Earlier this season, it looked like the AL West was the Seattle Mariners to lose after they rattled off a commanding lead for the top spot of the division standings. Especially when the reigning World Series champions Texas Rangers and Houston Astros both got off to sluggish starts, sitting comfortably behind at the bottom of the standings. Leaving the All Star break, the Astros now have a slight lead for first place.

A major reason for the Mariners recent struggles stems from their lack of offensive production, entering the second half of the season ranked near dead last in Team Total Hits, RBIs, Runs Scored, and On Base Percentage. Even with a defense and pitching staff that ranks first overall in Defensive Efficiency and Team Total Pitching ERA, their lack of offensive production leaves them prone to falling behind early and unable to claw out of a deficit.

Until their offense can show that they can be a competitive unit, then they continue to be a fade target for our NRFI series. Even when facing off against an underwhelming arm like the Angels Griffin Canning who is set to take the mound for Wednesday’s matchup. It’s been a season to forget for Griffin as he enters the contest with an ERA of 5.20, a WHIP of 1.420, 112 Hits Against, and 61 Earned Runs Allowed in 20 games played.

As for the Mariners, their elite defense is in a position to continue to succeed as the Angels offensive production has continued to decline since the injury to former MVP Mike Trout. Ranked below league average in the same previously mentioned offensive metrics, scoring opportunities will be tough to come by against the Mariners Luis Castillo who has done a modest job at limiting the number of opposing runners on base with a WHIP of 1.158.

Bet on Under 0.5 Run (-130) at FanDuel

Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians - Jack Flaherty vs. Tanner Bibee (6:40 PM, EST)

Under 0.5 Run (-137) at BetRivers

Like the Mariners, the Cleveland Guardians are also vulnerable to losing their top spot of the AL Central standings as they have the second hardest remaining strength of schedule. Their offense is also flirting with negative regression as they have continued to maximize on their minimal scoring chances by ranking above average in RBIs and Total Runs Scored while they rank below league average in Team Total Hits.

Making contact at a league average rate will once again be tough to come by against Jack Flaherty who has quietly dominated while in the shadows of current AL Cy Young betting favorite Tarik Skubal. While not totally mirroring Skubal’s statline, Flaherty has still had a respectable start to his year as he takes the mound with an ERA of 3.13 and a WHIP of 0.964.

As for the Tigers, their offense continues to play as one of the worst units in the league at the midway point of the season. A shockingly bad level of play for a young lineup that built momentum in the back half of 2023, yet their success has failed to carry over to this season as they rank in the bottom half of the league in the same previously mentioned offensive metrics. Expect their struggles to persist as the Guardians Tanner Bibee has excelled at minimizing opposing scoring opportunities with a WHIP of 1.111 and FIP of 3.35.

Bet on Under 0.5 Run (-137) at FanDuel

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